NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	97		Excitement	9.5 [106]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +27.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	9.9 [62]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -29.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.28	0.07	0.21	0.00	20	58%	0.37	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	17	37%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.12	0.02	10	62%	-0.03	3	-0.07	12	67%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	7	50%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	89%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	3	-0.12	3	67%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.14	-0.02	32	48%	-0.03	6	-0.13	15	73%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	19	34%	-0.23	3	-0.05	12	50%	-0.16
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	16	22%	-0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.6	30.2	19.5	33.6	3.0	39.2	154.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +68.0%

DEN +11.7%

PHI -24.1%

PHI -5.0%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	13.1	15.9	15.6	99.0	93.0	104.4
season	14.4	15.2		103.5	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.9		106.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.0	14.0	10.9	16.2	13.1
PHI	15.7	14.2	16.2	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	39	39	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.35	19	-15	34	13.3	13.0	0.37	17.3	15.1	2.18
Carmelo Anthony	88	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	0	4	13.1	13.1	0.01	15.7	17.9	-2.20
Marcus Camby	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	0	4	12.7	14.1	-1.37	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Earl Boykins	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	2	0	14.0	12.3	1.63	15.3	16.5	-1.12
Andre Miller	71	73	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	2	0	12.6	14.5	-1.89	16.3	15.0	1.30
Greg Buckner	47	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	-1	6	13.3	12.9	0.40	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Ruben Patterson	59	61	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	11	-18	13.2	13.0	0.14	16.3	15.4	0.84
Reggie Evans	34	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	9	-14	13.9	12.7	1.27	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Francisco Elson	34	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	8	-12	12.3	13.5	-1.21	16.1	15.9	0.16

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	33	31	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-9	14	14.5	16.7	-2.19	12.7	13.3	-0.64
Shavlik Randolph	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	0.0	16.1	-16.11	0.0	13.1	-13.11
Steven Hunter	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	3	-10	17.0	15.1	1.92	12.5	13.6	-1.15
Matt Barnes	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-3	2	15.8	16.1	-0.30	13.7	12.5	1.20
John Salmons	29	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-4	4	15.8	16.0	-0.22	14.7	12.4	2.29
Chris Webber	87	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-3	2	16.3	13.8	2.51	12.8	15.2	-2.35
Kyle Korver	88	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	2	-8	16.2	14.1	2.12	12.6	17.0	-4.43
Andre Iguodala	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-3	2	15.6	17.2	-1.59	13.7	11.2	2.43
Allen Iverson	92	90	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.34	-9	5	-14	16.0	15.1	0.90	13.1	13.5	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 97, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.3,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.68,0.58,0	89.5%
IND 97, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.43,0	88.4%
PHI 106, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.27,0	88.4%