NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	9.3 [145]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +31.1%
LA Clippers	100		Comeback	2.7 [190]		LVP	Robert Covington (LAC): -24.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.31,0.31	0.00	0.25	-0.06	25	54%	0.39	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.12
Jaylin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03	0.07	-0.04	-0.00	15	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	12	48%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Ousmane Dieng	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	0.03	-0.10	-0.00	12	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier Sarr	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	11	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	5	93%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.01	17	50%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.01	7	36%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	54%	0.18	3	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.09	0.00	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.12	5	60%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	8	12%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	26.4	15.4	27.2	2.4	30.4	130.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -24.4%

OKC +11.5%

OKC +6.1%

OKC +16.0%

OKC +40.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.4	106.3	103.1	113.4
season	13.7	14.6		113.5	113.7
opponent	14.4	14.5		113.6	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.1	15.5	13.4	18.2	15.1
LAC	14.2	16.5	13.3	16.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Joe	50	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-7	15	15.8	14.3	1.51	16.1	13.5	2.57
Aaron Wiggins	38	36	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	-5	11	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.9	14.3	1.62
Luguentz Dort	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	3	-5	15.1	15.0	0.13	14.4	17.1	-2.75
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.55	-5	6	-11	15.0	15.6	-0.63	14.1	17.4	-3.33
Jalen Williams	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	4	-7	15.5	13.6	1.84	14.4	16.7	-2.33
Josh Giddey	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	2	-3	14.2	16.8	-2.57	15.0	14.7	0.35
Lindy Waters III	22	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	-4	9	15.5	15.0	0.51	16.7	14.3	2.35
Ousmane Dieng	15	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	15.4	15.0	0.35	16.6	14.6	2.07
Olivier Sarr	39	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	-7	15	13.5	16.2	-2.66	15.4	14.5	0.90
Jaylin Williams	23	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	14	-27	15.3	15.0	0.32	12.3	15.7	-3.46

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	73	73	0.37	-0.87	1.25	-0.07	15	-16	31	14.0	17.6	-3.62	15.2	14.9	0.31
Ivica Zubac	41	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-4	7	14.1	15.5	-1.34	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Robert Covington	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	16.4	14.7	1.71	16.4	14.9	1.47
Terance Mann	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	3	-7	17.2	14.3	2.93	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Mason Plumlee	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	2	-5	15.4	14.5	0.81	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Russell Westbrook	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.55	8	-9	17	13.4	16.9	-3.54	15.4	14.7	0.74
Marcus Morris Sr.	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.53	2	-3	5	14.0	16.5	-2.42	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Kawhi Leonard	79	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	4	-9	14.7	15.9	-1.22	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Nicolas Batum	45	43	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	6	-13	16.2	13.7	2.51	16.1	14.3	1.80
Eric Gordon	52	50	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.41	-13	12	-25	16.9	12.6	4.33	15.8	14.3	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.09,0	92.2%
DET 84, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.14,0.15,0	91.9%
SAS 82, GSW 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.25,0.04,0	91.3%