NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	8.5 [257]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +58.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.9 [886]		LVP	Markelle Fultz (ORL): -12.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.05	0.20	-0.01	15	50%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Franz Wagner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	23	44%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gary Harris	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bol Bol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	20	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Caleb Houstan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	12	44%	-0.04	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.59	0.59	0.23	0.37	0.02	14	76%	0.69	3	-0.11	18	89%	0.06
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	12	69%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	15	42%	-0.00	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	26.3	14.5	28.5	1.7	35.0	133.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.9%

LAL +26.2%

ORL -3.6%

ORL -18.2%

ORL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	14.4	107.1	112.1	113.4
season	14.3	14.1		111.0	113.1
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.1	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.8	12.9	13.7	14.2	14.8
LAL	14.6	13.2	14.5	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Harris	31	32	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-15	24	13.2	15.5	-2.33	15.5	14.0	1.55
Gary Harris	45	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-9	12	15.7	14.0	1.73	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Wendell Carter Jr.	67	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-17	28	14.3	15.8	-1.58	14.6	14.2	0.36
Markelle Fultz	67	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-11	16	14.8	14.6	0.21	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Paolo Banchero	70	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-12	18	15.2	13.7	1.51	14.3	14.9	-0.50
Bol Bol	12	12	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	9	-24	14.6	14.8	-0.20	15.0	14.4	0.59
Franz Wagner	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-3	0	14.8	14.7	0.04	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Goga Bitadze	31	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	11	-28	15.8	14.3	1.58	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Caleb Houstan	31	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	9	-24	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.8	14.3	0.50
Cole Anthony	56	57	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	8	-22	14.6	14.9	-0.26	14.5	14.4	0.14

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	52	50	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.25	22	-16	38	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.9	14.6	0.30
Wenyen Gabriel	43	42	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.12	25	-19	44	13.2	15.4	-2.21	15.4	14.3	1.14
Austin Reaves	64	64	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.06	25	-19	44	13.7	15.9	-2.26	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Anthony Davis	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.40	-3	9	-12	14.5	14.4	0.18	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Rui Hachimura	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	2	2	15.2	14.0	1.10	13.9	15.3	-1.40
D'Angelo Russell	65	66	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	14	-22	15.6	12.4	3.11	15.1	14.1	1.03
Troy Brown Jr.	60	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	14	-22	15.2	13.4	1.73	14.9	14.6	0.29
Malik Beasley	52	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.22	-15	21	-36	15.0	14.0	1.00	14.8	14.7	0.16
Jarred Vanderbilt	49	49	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.09	-12	18	-30	13.9	15.0	-1.12	14.3	15.2	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.72,1	91.2%
DEN 97, CHH 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.32,0.42,1	90.8%
DET 101, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.48,0.55,0.72,1	90.6%