NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	117		Excitement	7.3 [450]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +28.2%
Sacramento Kings	122		Comeback	1.3 [848]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -19.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	13	70%	0.23	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	12	66%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.08	0.03	23	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	90%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	22	43%	-0.05	4	-0.13	9	56%	-0.07
Immanuel Quickley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	11	14%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.21	-0.02	16	59%	0.37	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	10	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	-0.00	12	58%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	76%	0.15	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kessler Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	15	63%	0.04	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.3	33.4	15.8	32.2	2.8	39.2	153.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.0%

SAC +12.9%

NYK -25.3%

SAC +13.4%

SAC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	12.9	14.4	111.4	117.3	113.4
season	15.1	13.5		115.6	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		115.2	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.9	14.0	12.8	13.5	14.6
SAC	13.0	11.3	14.9	12.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	14	14	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-13	21	14.8	14.6	0.16	14.9	12.6	2.34
Isaiah Hartenstein	54	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-16	27	14.5	14.8	-0.23	13.4	12.4	1.00
Obi Toppin	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	16.2	14.1	2.10	12.2	13.1	-0.90
Mitchell Robinson	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	6	-17	15.0	14.4	0.66	13.1	12.7	0.40
Josh Hart	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	13.9	16.2	-2.33	12.7	13.3	-0.58
Jalen Brunson	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	7	-19	16.9	13.3	3.62	12.4	13.2	-0.87
Immanuel Quickley	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.45	3	-8	11	13.6	16.1	-2.45	13.1	12.6	0.47
Julius Randle	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	14.1	16.2	-2.10	13.1	12.2	0.90
Quentin Grimes	64	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	5	-15	14.6	14.8	-0.18	13.0	12.8	0.20
RJ Barrett	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	6	-17	14.9	14.0	0.86	12.3	14.5	-2.20

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	83	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-7	19	12.7	13.5	-0.78	14.8	13.9	0.92
De'Aaron Fox	66	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	12.4	13.8	-1.40	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Kevin Huerter	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	13.4	12.1	1.34	15.0	14.1	0.85
Domantas Sabonis	78	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	7	-9	13.1	12.4	0.69	14.8	14.0	0.84
Keegan Murray	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-6	17	12.8	13.0	-0.22	16.0	13.2	2.78
Trey Lyles	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	5	-5	12.6	13.3	-0.80	12.7	17.1	-4.45
Malik Monk	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	13.1	12.8	0.29	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Davion Mitchell	44	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	12.9	12.9	-0.07	14.1	15.0	-0.96
Kessler Edwards	1	0	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	7	-9	2.0	13.0	-11.01	0.0	14.6	-14.65
Terence Davis	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	7	-9	15.4	12.7	2.78	22.7	13.9	8.77
Chimezie Metu	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	13.5	12.8	0.70	13.5	14.8	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	93.3%
SEA 106, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.95,1,1	93.2%
BOS 110, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.8%