NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	5.7 [589]		MVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): +14.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.1 [279]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -8.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	24	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Robert Williams III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	7	81%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Grant Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	6	31%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carsen Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.06	11	68%	0.05	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	26	47%	-0.05	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	20	62%	0.23	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	8	100%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	16	66%	0.18	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	5	67%	0.12	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	39%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quinn Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.5	15.5	25.5	1.7	44.0	140.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.5%

CLE +10.9%

BOS -1.9%

BOS -17.8%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	14.4	110.0	121.9	111.3
season	14.5	15.2		112.8	104.5
opponent	14.0	14.5		112.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	13.6	12.8	12.3	13.4
CLE	14.5	17.1	18.0	15.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	7	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-10	13	11.7	13.5	-1.77	16.8	16.0	0.80
Payton Pritchard	40	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-10	13	12.9	13.6	-0.68	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Carsen Edwards	7	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	12.1	13.5	-1.31	17.1	16.0	1.14
Daniel Theis	55	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	14.0	12.6	1.38	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Semi Ojeleye	40	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	13.9	13.0	0.86	17.4	15.3	2.03
Jeff Teague	30	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	1	-9	13.3	13.4	-0.09	14.8	16.7	-1.86
Grant Williams	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-11	15	12.7	13.9	-1.17	15.7	16.5	-0.79
Jaylen Brown	83	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-9	11	13.2	14.2	-0.98	16.2	15.7	0.44
Robert Williams III	54	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	6	-19	12.6	14.3	-1.75	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Marcus Smart	60	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	3	-13	13.6	12.9	0.68	16.4	15.7	0.70
Jayson Tatum	76	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.1	11.1	2.94	16.3	15.4	0.89

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	74	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-12	31	16.0	16.3	-0.25	13.7	12.4	1.28
Isaac Okoro	69	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	16.1	16.1	0.01	13.3	13.4	-0.06
Jarrett Allen	67	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	16.2	15.7	0.51	12.9	14.5	-1.68
Darius Garland	76	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	5	-3	16.1	16.0	0.11	13.1	14.4	-1.36
Larry Nance Jr.	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	2	3	16.0	16.5	-0.50	13.1	14.2	-1.17
Dylan Windler	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	16.8	15.9	0.87	13.8	13.2	0.53
Cedi Osman	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	8	-9	15.9	16.2	-0.23	13.0	13.6	-0.55
JaVale McGee	21	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.7	16.2	-0.47	14.7	13.0	1.68
Dean Wade	33	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	16.1	16.1	0.06	14.2	12.9	1.35
Quinn Cook	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	12	-17	15.7	16.1	-0.44	13.3	13.4	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	94.6%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
POR 97, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,1	94.0%