NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	9.0 [180]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +20.9%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	2.8 [760]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -18.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.03	19	57%	0.21	0	0.00	13	77%	0.05
Chris Boucher	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	4	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.00	20	46%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	41%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
O.G. Anunoby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	17	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	3	117%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	13	41%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	12	44%	0.05	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	6	25%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	19	46%	-0.10	1	-0.08	8	37%	-0.09
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.02	0.00	16	28%	-0.08	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	27.6	14.4	27.3	1.8	37.2	138.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.6%

TOR +5.0%

DET -5.0%

TOR +24.3%

TOR +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.4	96.9	93.8	113.4
season	14.7	14.6		114.0	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.5		117.3	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.1	15.0	15.7	17.0	15.1
DET	13.6	16.3	12.5	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-4	12	14.6	16.6	-1.99	14.1	15.7	-1.63
Scottie Barnes	73	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	16.3	11.6	4.67	14.8	13.5	1.27
Chris Boucher	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-4	12	13.2	16.5	-3.35	15.3	13.8	1.51
O.G. Anunoby	80	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	5	-6	15.4	13.4	2.01	13.8	17.3	-3.54
Precious Achiuwa	44	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	2	0	14.0	16.0	-1.96	15.0	14.0	1.02
Gary Trent Jr.	76	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	4	-4	15.0	15.2	-0.19	14.1	15.5	-1.35
Jakob Poeltl	55	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	2	0	15.9	14.0	1.93	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	4	-4	14.8	15.3	-0.52	15.3	13.9	1.37
Thaddeus Young	7	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	17.4	14.9	2.53	18.8	14.2	4.67

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
R.J. Hampton	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-3	2	15.2	14.4	0.85	15.2	15.1	0.15
Cory Joseph	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	17.4	13.8	3.60	18.2	14.4	3.78
Hamidou Diallo	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-9	14	16.0	13.6	2.41	16.4	14.3	2.15
James Wiseman	43	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-3	2	13.3	15.4	-2.15	16.5	14.0	2.48
Isaiah Stewart	41	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	1	-6	14.0	14.8	-0.83	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Alec Burks	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	15.3	14.0	1.35	13.3	16.1	-2.76
Killian Hayes	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-2	0	13.7	16.0	-2.35	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Isaiah Livers	56	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-5	6	14.8	14.0	0.83	15.2	14.9	0.26
Marvin Bagley III	54	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	15.4	13.3	2.15	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Jaden Ivey	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	0	-4	13.8	15.7	-1.89	15.2	14.8	0.45
Bojan Bogdanovic	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	5	-14	13.6	16.0	-2.41	14.3	16.4	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.48,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.08,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.46,0.23,0.04,0	93.0%
MIA 104, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	91.6%
SEA 109, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.02,0	91.5%