inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 107 Excitement8.4 [229] MVPSteven Adams (OKC): +32.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 100 Comeback3.1 [374] LVPMalcolm Brogdon (IND): -11.1%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Myles Turner0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.29,0.290.050.250.00771%0.362-0.063100%0.02
Doug McDermott0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.100.12-0.00970%0.2200.002100%0.03
T.J. Warren0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.110.100.010.011567%0.172-0.06683%0.03
Justin Holiday0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.040.02967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.080.060.030.011159%0.0800.0000%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0.030,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.05-0.011357%0.214-0.18475%0.00
T.J. McConnell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01729%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon-0.110,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11-0.02-0.09-0.001339%-0.1100.00250%-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Adams0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.32,0.320.320.150.190.028100%0.392-0.074100%0.03
Danilo Gallinari0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.130.05-0.031369%0.2100.0000%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00480%0.112-0.082100%0.01
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.02-0.00487%0.071-0.0500%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.03-0.001751%0.071-0.061100%0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.001941%0.112-0.141100%0.02
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Deonte Burton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Terrance Ferguson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.07-0.00757%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.02922%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.21.622.314.727.62.034.2125.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +15.9%
IND +1.1%
IND +14.7%
IND +17.2%
IND +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDOKCNBAINDOKCNBA
this game15.816.214.2117.6112.4109.6
season14.414.3108.7108.8
opponent14.514.4107.6107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.816.616.415.315.8
OKC16.616.116.316.016.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myles Turner51480.420.080.340.188-1915.516.0-0.5016.815.61.21
Justin Holiday53540.350.150.210.3507-714.817.1-2.3416.416.10.29
T.J. Warren66640.320.180.140.1270716.314.32.0016.715.21.50
Doug McDermott37360.310.190.110.1943115.416.0-0.5714.917.1-2.22
Malcolm Brogdon58560.270.230.050.1643116.514.42.1116.216.3-0.11
Jeremy Lamb58560.270.230.050.1643116.514.42.1116.216.3-0.11
Aaron Holiday33330.230.27-0.050.1434-114.416.5-2.1116.316.20.11
T.J. McConnell33330.230.27-0.050.1434-114.416.5-2.1116.316.20.11
Domantas Sabonis66650.100.40-0.300.0425-316.414.22.1616.016.7-0.70

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deonte Burton15160.05-0.550.60-0.126-131915.916.3-0.4415.115.9-0.86
Darius Bazley2323-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-8915.416.5-1.0814.116.3-2.25
Nerlens Noel3536-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-2-317.215.61.6416.315.40.84
Abdel Nader3131-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-6516.016.3-0.3114.316.5-2.24
Dennis Schroder4544-0.20-0.300.11-0.283-101315.517.0-1.5615.615.9-0.35
Danilo Gallinari5658-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-3-116.216.3-0.1116.514.42.11
Chris Paul6162-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.11-6-1-516.316.10.1916.514.12.39
Terrance Ferguson5760-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-81-916.515.70.8116.514.32.24
Steven Adams5455-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.35-2-5315.617.2-1.6415.416.3-0.84
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6870-0.680.18-0.85-0.12-1912-3116.914.02.9315.317.4-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.46,0.23,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 109, ORL 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.02,091.6%
SAS 99, POR 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.09,0.08,091.2%
IND 84, ATL 790.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.35,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,091.2%