NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	84		Excitement	6.1 [626]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +24.8%
Atlanta Hawks	79		Comeback	4.2 [162]		LVP	Tony Delk (ATL): -13.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.01	23	69%	0.32	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Eddie Gill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	4	83%	0.16	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	23	54%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donta Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	0.02	22	51%	-0.07	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.09
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	10	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.5	30.3	15.5	28.4	2.3	38.5	145.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.7%

IND +28.7%

ATL -6.5%

ATL -19.9%

IND +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	18.4	16.5	15.5	101.2	96.3	104.0
season	16.8	15.6		101.9	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		108.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.1	19.3	18.3	18.2	18.4
ATL	17.1	17.6	14.5	16.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	31	31	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.40	16	-11	27	19.0	18.1	0.83	16.8	16.2	0.62
Fred Jones	51	50	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.40	10	-5	15	18.3	18.7	-0.50	15.6	17.8	-2.18
Austin Croshere	34	35	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-5	15	19.3	17.8	1.49	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Scot Pollard	19	20	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	-4	13	18.9	18.3	0.58	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Eddie Gill	24	26	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-6	17	21.0	17.4	3.65	16.5	16.4	0.13
Anthony Johnson	59	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	11	-17	17.4	21.0	-3.65	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Jermaine O'Neal	64	62	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	9	-13	18.3	18.9	-0.58	16.7	15.7	0.99
Jeff Foster	49	47	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	10	-15	17.8	19.3	-1.49	16.7	16.1	0.59
Reggie Miller	38	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	6	-7	17.4	19.3	-1.89	17.4	15.7	1.64
Stephen Jackson	46	46	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.03	-15	20	-35	19.2	17.6	1.58	16.4	16.5	-0.14

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	14	14	0.09	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	17.0	16.3	0.66	20.5	18.0	2.47
Al Harrington	63	64	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.26	10	-15	25	16.6	16.1	0.52	18.8	17.1	1.74
Antoine Walker	68	71	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-14	23	16.4	16.9	-0.49	18.5	18.0	0.52
Obinna Ekezie	39	41	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-9	13	16.3	16.6	-0.32	18.3	18.6	-0.35
Donta Smith	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	17.6	16.3	1.37	18.7	18.4	0.36
Royal Ivey	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-3	1	16.6	16.4	0.22	18.7	18.4	0.35
Boris Diaw	60	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-4	3	16.2	17.0	-0.75	18.6	17.9	0.72
Predrag Drobnjak	23	22	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	5	-15	15.2	16.9	-1.78	16.3	19.2	-2.89
Kevin Willis	14	12	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	9	-23	16.5	16.4	0.06	19.0	18.4	0.65
Josh Childress	50	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	6	-17	17.4	14.9	2.53	17.9	19.3	-1.39
Tony Delk	52	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.39	-9	4	-13	15.9	17.4	-1.44	18.4	18.6	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.35,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.02,0	93.6%
ORL 121, IND 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.2%
CHI 98, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	92.9%