NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	6.0 [712]		MVP	Ochai Agbaji (UTA): +15.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	117		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.08	0.03	12	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	16	72%	0.18	6	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Damian Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udoka Azubuike	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	53%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	43%	0.04	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	21	45%	-0.00	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.03	19	58%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.09	0.09	-0.16	0.15	-0.10	26	33%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.04
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	20	53%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	82%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	25.7	15.4	26.4	1.7	38.1	132.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +4.2%

MEM +8.9%

UTA -10.7%

MEM +48.0%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	14.4	105.7	112.5	113.4
season	14.3	13.9		114.4	113.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		110.0	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.2	14.4	14.6	11.9	13.5
MEM	13.5	12.3	14.2	16.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Jones	15	17	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.14	10	-16	26	12.1	13.8	-1.69	15.6	13.7	1.84
Kelly Olynyk	82	84	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-21	36	12.5	17.0	-4.46	14.3	13.0	1.30
Talen Horton-Tucker	69	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-17	28	12.7	15.1	-2.47	14.6	13.0	1.58
Collin Sexton	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	2	-10	13.9	13.5	0.39	13.2	14.1	-0.90
Udoka Azubuike	9	8	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	9	-24	17.9	13.1	4.78	10.2	14.4	-4.11
Juan Toscano-Anderson	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	14.2	12.8	1.48	13.5	14.6	-1.02
Simone Fontecchio	53	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	5	-16	14.4	12.6	1.74	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Walker Kessler	71	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	13.5	13.6	-0.07	14.6	13.0	1.54
Ochai Agbaji	86	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.26	-9	3	-12	13.7	12.5	1.21	14.0	14.0	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	79	78	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	14	-34	13.7	12.9	0.84	13.6	15.3	-1.63

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.3	13.5	0.71	13.6	13.4	0.18
Santi Aldama	44	45	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-12	30	13.8	14.2	-0.36	14.0	13.2	0.77
Dillon Brooks	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	14.1	13.9	0.20	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Desmond Bane	73	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-1	8	13.4	15.6	-2.23	13.0	14.7	-1.77
Brandon Clarke	67	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	11	-16	14.9	12.4	2.51	13.7	13.2	0.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	4	-2	13.4	15.5	-2.14	13.2	14.2	-0.93
Luke Kennard	41	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	4	-2	15.1	13.3	1.77	14.0	13.1	0.90
Tyus Jones	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	3	0	14.0	14.1	-0.07	13.4	13.6	-0.18
John Konchar	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	13.5	14.2	-0.75	14.0	13.3	0.69
Xavier Tillman	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	11	-16	13.9	14.1	-0.17	13.4	13.5	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,0.93,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, NOP 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
BOS 97, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SEA 111, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%