NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	8.5 [256]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +44.7%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	29.8 [89]		LVP	Dalen Terry (CHI): -14.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.45,0.45	0.23	0.24	0.03	12	96%	0.46	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
Zach LaVine	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	23	59%	0.27	2	-0.03	13	85%	0.04
Patrick Williams	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.05	0.05	12	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	18	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Drummond	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dalen Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.17	0.03	12	93%	0.46	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.05
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.08	0.03	12	78%	0.22	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.06
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	-0.00	11	59%	0.23	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.19	0.01	15	50%	0.24	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	10	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	3	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.8	30.5	14.7	26.9	0.8	35.8	140.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.1%

IND +2.7%

IND +19.3%

CHI -14.1%

CHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	13.6	14.4	111.9	115.8	113.4
season	14.1	13.7		112.0	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.9		116.4	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.8	14.1	17.6	16.6	14.9
IND	14.9	13.6	13.7	12.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	24	26	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-10	16	13.9	15.2	-1.27	13.0	13.9	-0.85
Patrick Williams	62	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.37	-15	11	-26	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.1	12.9	1.19
Dalen Terry	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-6	8	14.0	15.3	-1.37	11.9	14.5	-2.55
Zach LaVine	89	88	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-10	16	15.0	13.9	1.09	13.9	11.8	2.05
Coby White	69	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-2	0	14.9	14.8	0.15	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Ayo Dosunmu	87	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	7	-18	15.2	13.0	2.18	14.3	9.2	5.14
Nikola Vucevic	77	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	6	-16	15.2	13.9	1.27	13.9	13.0	0.85
Alex Caruso	63	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.70	4	-8	12	14.7	15.2	-0.53	13.5	13.8	-0.29

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	69	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-8	20	13.7	13.5	0.20	15.2	14.1	1.15
Andrew Nembhard	42	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-3	10	13.0	14.1	-1.13	17.5	13.2	4.34
Buddy Hield	59	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-7	18	13.8	13.4	0.35	15.0	14.7	0.30
Myles Turner	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-11	26	14.0	12.7	1.27	14.9	14.9	-0.06
Tyrese Haliburton	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-1	6	14.0	12.8	1.23	15.2	14.0	1.24
Jalen Smith	13	13	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	0	4	13.5	13.7	-0.20	16.8	14.6	2.17
Bennedict Mathurin	49	50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	7	-10	13.2	14.0	-0.79	14.7	15.1	-0.36
T.J. McConnell	46	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	15	-26	14.6	12.8	1.83	13.3	16.2	-2.82
Chris Duarte	46	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	2	0	13.3	13.9	-0.56	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Isaiah Jackson	13	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.25	-15	19	-34	11.9	13.9	-1.96	13.1	15.1	-2.07
Jordan Nwora	22	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	11	-18	12.6	13.9	-1.33	12.8	15.4	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.74,0.65,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.2,0.28,0.32,0.63,1	89.5%
BOS 83, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.82,1	89.0%
NOK 91, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.23,0.58,1	89.0%