NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	100		Excitement	5.7 [764]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +14.1%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	1.2 [541]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -15.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	100%	0.23	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Markelle Fultz	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Houstan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Bol Bol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	18	51%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	7	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	20	44%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.01	20	54%	0.07	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	11	25%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	27.5	15.3	24.4	2.5	31.2	127.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.7%

ORL +3.0%

CHI -2.4%

CHI -0.6%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	14.4	101.0	92.9	113.4
season	14.3	14.1		111.0	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.9	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	11.8	14.8	14.8	13.8
CHI	15.2	15.9	16.5	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	13.7	14.1	-0.35	15.8	14.8	0.97
Franz Wagner	67	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	0	9	13.9	13.6	0.32	15.3	15.7	-0.49
Markelle Fultz	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-3	15	14.1	13.3	0.80	15.8	14.3	1.55
Gary Harris	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-3	15	13.3	14.6	-1.31	16.0	14.6	1.46
Paolo Banchero	73	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	0	9	13.7	14.1	-0.38	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Bol Bol	26	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	9	-9	14.1	13.7	0.38	15.4	15.4	0.01
Jalen Suggs	48	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	12	-15	13.6	14.1	-0.45	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Moritz Wagner	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	14.2	13.6	0.60	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Caleb Houstan	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	11	-13	13.6	13.9	-0.29	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Jonathan Isaac	27	26	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	13	-17	14.6	13.6	1.04	14.0	15.9	-1.86

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	18	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-15	21	14.1	15.7	-1.59	14.3	13.7	0.53
Andre Drummond	30	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-13	17	15.5	15.4	0.08	14.2	13.7	0.57
Goran Dragic	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-8	7	15.2	15.5	-0.21	12.9	14.1	-1.27
Dalen Terry	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-9	9	15.8	15.3	0.45	14.5	13.7	0.81
Coby White	47	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	13.8	16.9	-3.03	14.4	13.3	1.17
Ayo Dosunmu	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-5	1	16.2	13.6	2.61	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Zach LaVine	83	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.7	13.7	1.98	13.9	13.4	0.59
Patrick Williams	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	6	-21	15.7	14.9	0.73	13.5	14.4	-0.86
DeMar DeRozan	72	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	1	-11	15.4	15.5	-0.07	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Nikola Vucevic	68	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	4	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.08	13.7	14.2	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 94, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0	94.6%
DEN 128, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%