NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	4.6 [971]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +23.1%
Toronto Raptors	112		Comeback	1.4 [1225]		LVP	Jakob Poeltl (SAS): -7.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Keldon Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	17	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Blake Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.26	0.02	0.05	21	79%	0.26	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	10	72%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	16	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.13	16	43%	0.11	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.7	24.5	15.3	27.6	2.3	31.7	128.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.0%

TOR +4.1%

TOR +3.5%

TOR +3.6%

SAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	TOR	NBA	SAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.9	13.7	14.4	94.2	106.7	113.4
season	14.0	14.7		109.2	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.2	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.6	12.5	15.0	14.6	13.9
TOR	11.3	15.2	15.7	13.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	26	26	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-23	32	13.3	14.0	-0.68	14.8	13.3	1.52
Blake Wesley	31	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-14	14	11.9	14.7	-2.78	13.9	13.6	0.34
Keita Bates-Diop	58	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-17	20	14.7	12.8	1.96	14.0	13.4	0.58
Doug McDermott	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-16	18	13.5	14.2	-0.64	14.3	13.1	1.15
Zach Collins	41	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-15	16	12.9	14.5	-1.61	15.0	12.9	2.12
Isaiah Roby	41	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	12.9	14.5	-1.53	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Jakob Poeltl	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-3	-8	14.5	12.8	1.72	12.9	14.8	-1.92
Josh Richardson	66	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-2	-10	14.3	13.2	1.10	13.6	13.9	-0.37
Malaki Branham	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	8	-30	14.6	12.8	1.82	13.2	14.4	-1.25
Keldon Johnson	81	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.09	-27	13	-40	13.9	13.7	0.21	13.2	15.2	-2.00

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	87	88	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.04	22	-8	30	13.4	15.4	-2.03	13.8	14.3	-0.54
Fred VanVleet	81	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-6	26	13.5	14.4	-0.87	13.4	15.5	-2.08
Gary Trent Jr.	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-1	16	13.9	13.3	0.54	14.5	12.4	2.05
Thaddeus Young	35	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.04	12	2	10	12.5	14.3	-1.79	13.4	14.1	-0.64
Chris Boucher	67	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	6	2	13.3	14.3	-1.00	13.8	13.9	-0.15
Scottie Barnes	82	81	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	15	-16	14.2	12.0	2.18	14.2	12.6	1.66
Precious Achiuwa	59	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	15	-16	14.3	12.9	1.41	14.7	12.9	1.79
Juancho Hernangomez	10	9	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	9	-4	11.3	14.0	-2.66	12.3	14.0	-1.67
Christian Koloko	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	11	-8	14.2	13.6	0.53	11.2	14.2	-2.95
Malachi Flynn	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	27	-40	15.8	13.2	2.57	13.3	14.0	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
BKN 85, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SAC 82, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%