NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	8.7 [217]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +26.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	14.1 [111]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -20.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.26	-0.03	0.26	-0.03	15	53%	0.44	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	10	85%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Pascal Siakam	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	17	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.03
Malachi Flynn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	14	34%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	19	38%	-0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.07	-0.07	7	57%	0.23	2	-0.07	7	57%	0.02
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.07,0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.15	-0.21	0.01	17	72%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.04	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	17	44%	-0.07	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.6	13.8	28.5	2.3	33.5	134.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.5%

MEM -23.5%

TOR +18.3%

TOR +28.6%

MEM -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	13.2	14.4	106.0	103.0	113.4
season	14.7	13.9		114.0	113.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		110.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.0	15.9	14.6	14.8	15.6
MEM	12.3	13.5	12.6	14.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	74	72	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-5	13	15.0	17.3	-2.33	13.7	12.0	1.64
Fred VanVleet	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.3	16.7	-1.38	13.4	12.4	0.96
Gary Trent Jr.	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.63	-7	10	-17	15.3	16.5	-1.21	12.7	15.0	-2.31
Precious Achiuwa	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.60	-10	13	-23	15.2	16.3	-1.13	13.0	13.7	-0.69
Malachi Flynn	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	-8	19	16.6	15.0	1.53	13.9	12.8	1.11
Pascal Siakam	61	63	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.54	-13	16	-29	15.7	15.5	0.19	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Thaddeus Young	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.21	11	-8	19	16.1	15.0	1.06	13.7	12.8	0.88
Chris Boucher	54	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.23	11	-8	19	16.4	14.6	1.88	13.5	12.9	0.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Clarke	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	13.9	12.9	1.06	17.1	14.9	2.24
David Roddy	26	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-1	-1	13.3	13.2	0.12	16.0	15.4	0.53
Ziaire Williams	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	0	-3	13.0	13.3	-0.23	16.4	15.3	1.10
Xavier Tillman	68	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-3	3	12.9	13.9	-1.06	15.4	15.9	-0.41
Tyus Jones	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-9	15	13.3	12.9	0.40	14.8	17.5	-2.73
John Konchar	38	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	8	-19	13.5	13.1	0.41	15.6	15.6	0.05
Danny Green	38	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	7	-17	14.3	12.5	1.77	15.7	15.5	0.15
Santi Aldama	67	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-8	13	13.2	13.3	-0.08	15.3	16.0	-0.66
Jaren Jackson Jr.	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-4	5	12.6	14.6	-1.97	15.2	16.3	-1.03
Desmond Bane	67	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.53	2	-5	7	13.0	13.6	-0.62	15.9	14.9	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.82,0.68,0.64,0.31,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 120, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.31,0.72,0	92.5%
CHA 109, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.61,0.8,0.64,0.34,0.42,0	90.0%
NJN 106, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.43,0	89.6%