NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	109		Excitement	8.8 [163]		MVP	Jarron Collins (UTA): +7.0%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	10.2 [72]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -36.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.09,0.06,0.06	-0.09	0.15	-0.00	6	40%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	66%	0.10	1	-0.04	8	87%	-0.06
Kareem Rush	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.08	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Theron Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,0.01,0.06,-0.09,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.01	11	72%	0.14	3	-0.21	17	82%	0.06
Steven Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Hart	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	5	62%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	72%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.12	-0.15	0.01	11	78%	0.08	1	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Raul Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.17	-0.03	16	56%	0.00	2	-0.17	16	87%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.26	-0.00	11	35%	-0.28	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	1.7	34.1	14.7	32.2	2.3	36.8	151.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +51.9%

UTA -3.3%

CHA +0.3%

UTA -6.9%

CHA +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	12.7	16.0	15.5	106.9	106.1	104.0
season	15.5	16.7		99.0	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.1	12.6	12.3	12.0	12.7
UTA	14.7	16.8	16.0	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	68	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-6	16	12.8	12.6	0.28	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Brevin Knight	60	59	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-3	10	12.4	13.3	-0.88	16.5	15.2	1.32
Primoz Brezec	54	54	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-7	18	12.1	13.5	-1.35	16.7	15.1	1.64
Jason Hart	53	51	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	0	4	12.8	12.6	0.22	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Gerald Wallace	81	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	4	-4	12.6	13.2	-0.56	15.3	18.7	-3.50
Jason Kapono	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	-1	6	12.9	12.7	0.24	17.5	15.2	2.23
Keith Bogans	44	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	12.9	12.6	0.33	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Steven Smith	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	2	0	13.0	12.6	0.42	16.5	15.7	0.72
Kareem Rush	23	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	7	-10	13.0	12.7	0.27	16.0	15.9	0.05
Theron Smith	46	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.00	-10	14	-24	13.2	12.4	0.78	15.2	16.5	-1.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	25	26	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.03	7	-11	18	15.0	16.3	-1.28	13.0	12.7	0.29
Curtis Borchardt	7	7	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.02	8	-12	20	17.3	15.9	1.43	13.9	12.7	1.19
Jarron Collins	42	42	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.06	5	-9	14	15.3	16.4	-1.09	13.2	12.4	0.80
Kirk Snyder	30	32	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-4	4	14.7	16.5	-1.81	13.0	12.6	0.42
Matt Harpring	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	0	-4	17.5	15.1	2.39	13.5	12.3	1.17
Kris Humphries	13	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	16.1	15.9	0.14	11.9	12.9	-1.03
Raja Bell	16	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	16.0	16.0	0.05	14.5	12.4	2.07
Andrei Kirilenko	82	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-9	14	16.0	15.9	0.09	12.4	14.7	-2.35
Mehmet Okur	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	15.6	16.5	-0.88	12.3	13.4	-1.08
Gordan Giricek	44	46	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	2	-8	15.9	16.0	-0.17	12.5	12.9	-0.45
Howard Eisley	74	76	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.41	-11	7	-18	16.3	15.0	1.28	12.7	13.0	-0.29
Carlos Boozer	66	68	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.45	-15	11	-26	16.3	15.3	1.03	12.6	13.0	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.61,0.8,0.64,0.34,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	91.4%
DAL 88, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.28,0	91.2%
NJN 106, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.43,0	91.2%