NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	8.6 [240]		MVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): +19.8%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	3.2 [467]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -26.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.06	0.02	4	120%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	15	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.13	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	15	45%	-0.01	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	24	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Anfernee Simons	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.27	-0.05	-0.23	-0.01	20	48%	-0.02	4	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	5	71%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	9	52%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.23	4	-0.15	7	100%	0.06
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	16	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	15	47%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	5	50%	0.00	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	30.3	14.7	23.5	2.3	31.3	131.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.4%

IND +15.0%

POR -19.9%

IND +19.0%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	12.1	14.4	92.5	101.9	113.4
season	14.7	13.7		113.4	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.1		116.4	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	15.4	14.9	15.6	14.9
IND	12.4	11.9	11.4	13.1	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	33	34	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.09	5	-14	19	14.9	14.9	0.03	11.7	12.4	-0.68
Jabari Walker	34	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-9	9	15.4	14.7	0.68	11.7	12.4	-0.69
Shaedon Sharpe	44	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-5	1	14.8	14.9	-0.12	11.9	12.3	-0.36
Keon Johnson	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	14.3	15.0	-0.71	12.8	12.0	0.74
Damian Lillard	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-6	3	14.7	15.3	-0.55	12.1	12.1	0.03
Josh Hart	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-6	3	14.7	15.3	-0.55	12.1	12.1	0.03
Jerami Grant	83	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	1	-11	15.0	14.7	0.29	12.2	12.0	0.24
Anfernee Simons	90	89	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	2	-13	15.0	14.1	0.99	12.2	11.6	0.59
Jusuf Nurkic	74	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.32	-14	5	-19	14.9	14.9	-0.03	12.4	11.7	0.68

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	60	61	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-5	19	12.0	12.3	-0.33	15.5	14.0	1.48
Aaron Nesmith	55	57	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-5	19	12.2	12.1	0.05	15.2	14.5	0.73
Buddy Hield	67	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	0	9	12.3	11.9	0.31	15.2	14.4	0.78
Tyrese Haliburton	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	4	1	12.5	11.3	1.24	15.2	14.2	1.00
Andrew Nembhard	80	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	6	-3	12.1	12.1	0.03	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Goga Bitadze	11	11	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	3	3	12.1	12.1	-0.06	14.1	15.0	-0.89
T.J. McConnell	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	6	-3	11.7	12.4	-0.67	14.1	15.3	-1.19
Oshae Brissett	46	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.14	0	9	-9	11.8	12.4	-0.52	15.0	14.8	0.23
Bennedict Mathurin	47	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.18	1	8	-7	11.9	12.4	-0.48	15.0	14.8	0.13
Chris Duarte	24	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.17	-3	12	-15	12.0	12.2	-0.24	13.0	15.5	-2.44
Isaiah Jackson	31	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	16	-23	12.7	11.9	0.80	14.4	15.1	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.67,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	90.2%
WAS 103, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.47,0.38,0.79,0.45,0.84,1	90.1%
BKN 107, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	89.9%