NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	126		Excitement	11.1 [44]		MVP	De'Anthony Melton (PHI): +39.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	129		Comeback	37.6 [67]		LVP	James Harden (PHI): -32.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.10	0.21	-0.01	22	55%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	9	77%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	8	78%	0.17	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Oshae Brissett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.00	14	57%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.05,-0.15	0.00	-0.14	0.01	15	47%	-0.06	1	-0.09	10	90%	0.06
Andrew Nembhard	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.03	11	52%	-0.07	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.30	-0.00	15	63%	0.53	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.24	0.01	18	50%	0.28	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	0.00	9	86%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	5	110%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	6	93%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.18	-0.01	16	47%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.1,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32	-0.32	0.01	-0.32	0.01	20	52%	-0.12	4	-0.20	10	80%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	29.2	14.7	24.0	1.8	33.2	2.5	14.1	145.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.4%

IND -12.2%

PHI +21.2%

IND -9.2%

IND -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	16.5	14.4	120.0	122.9	113.4
season	13.7	15.2		113.3	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.3	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.6	13.0	14.2	13.6	13.7	13.8
PHI	16.1	17.0	17.7	14.7	17.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	73	72	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-8	13	13.4	14.7	-1.26	16.6	16.1	0.52
Aaron Nesmith	45	44	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-7	11	12.0	15.1	-3.13	18.1	15.3	2.78
Chris Duarte	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	1	-5	16.3	13.2	3.12	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Oshae Brissett	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	15.8	13.2	2.66	14.7	17.0	-2.35
Jalen Smith	29	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	4	-11	15.9	13.0	2.84	13.9	17.4	-3.48
T.J. McConnell	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	4	-11	15.0	13.4	1.61	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Myles Turner	76	78	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-7	11	13.0	15.9	-2.84	17.4	13.9	3.48
Tyrese Haliburton	79	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-5	7	13.2	15.5	-2.30	17.2	14.3	2.88
Buddy Hield	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.37	1	-4	5	13.1	16.5	-3.42	17.0	14.6	2.33
Bennedict Mathurin	60	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	4	-11	15.1	12.0	3.13	15.3	18.1	-2.78

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	54	53	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.50	9	-6	15	14.9	18.1	-3.15	15.6	11.9	3.70
Matisse Thybulle	42	42	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-11	25	14.3	18.0	-3.69	15.5	12.7	2.74
James Harden	86	85	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.1	2.89	13.3	16.1	-2.89
Tobias Harris	78	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	5	-7	17.1	14.7	2.44	12.9	16.2	-3.23
Georges Niang	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	0	3	15.8	16.8	-1.00	15.8	12.9	2.93
De'Anthony Melton	75	75	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	7	-11	17.1	14.9	2.21	12.9	16.1	-3.25
Tyrese Maxey	71	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-2	7	16.5	16.4	0.10	14.2	13.0	1.12
Shake Milton	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	15.7	16.9	-1.19	14.5	13.5	1.01
P.J. Tucker	51	52	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.09	-6	9	-15	18.1	14.9	3.15	11.9	15.6	-3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.44,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.23,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.84,1	90.4%
MIA 119, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.04,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	89.8%
NJN 93, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.42,1	87.4%