NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	118		Excitement	9.9 [96]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +65.4%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	18.8 [70]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -21.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.65	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.06,-0.01,0.65	0.09	0.58	0.02	21	51%	0.65	0	0.00	7	86%	0.05
Zach LaVine	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.43	0.22	0.20	-0.01	22	67%	0.43	0	0.00	5	100%	0.08
Coby White	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	16	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Patrick Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.47	0.47	0.28	0.21	0.02	20	83%	0.71	6	-0.24	13	77%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.21	0.00	22	59%	0.36	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	-0.00	10	68%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	11	33%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	15	35%	-0.20	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.7	23.7	15.4	27.6	2.5	38.8	131.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.9%

CHI +21.5%

NYK -17.6%

CHI +20.9%

NYK -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	17.3	14.4	126.9	125.8	113.4
season	14.1	15.1		112.0	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.9		112.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.2	14.4	14.0	14.0	13.6
NYK	16.6	16.9	16.0	20.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	67	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.53	9	-8	17	12.4	16.8	-4.47	17.5	17.1	0.38
Nikola Vucevic	77	76	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-8	17	13.3	15.1	-1.74	17.6	16.4	1.14
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.53	2	-1	3	13.6	13.7	-0.12	17.2	17.7	-0.42
Patrick Williams	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-2	5	12.8	16.5	-3.73	17.2	17.8	-0.58
Zach LaVine	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	-2	5	12.9	16.4	-3.52	17.3	17.5	-0.16
Goran Dragic	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	1	-1	15.4	12.7	2.77	17.5	17.2	0.29
Andre Drummond	36	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	11	-21	15.9	12.2	3.70	17.2	17.5	-0.30
Coby White	34	35	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.07	-11	12	-23	16.0	12.3	3.75	17.2	17.4	-0.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	38	37	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.00	11	-12	23	17.8	17.1	0.71	15.7	12.2	3.50
Isaiah Hartenstein	35	34	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-9	17	17.5	17.3	0.23	15.7	12.4	3.33
Jericho Sims	17	16	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-9	17	19.1	16.9	2.17	18.1	12.7	5.36
Miles McBride	17	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-7	13	17.9	17.2	0.66	16.8	12.9	3.92
RJ Barrett	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	0	-1	17.8	15.2	2.58	13.4	14.6	-1.18
Jalen Brunson	76	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	6	-13	17.2	17.9	-0.66	12.9	16.8	-3.92
Julius Randle	76	77	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	8	-17	16.9	19.1	-2.17	12.7	18.1	-5.36
Mitchell Robinson	58	59	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	8	-17	17.3	17.5	-0.23	12.4	15.7	-3.33
Quentin Grimes	72	73	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.46	-12	11	-23	16.6	19.8	-3.18	12.8	16.7	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.68,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.57,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	92.1%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	91.9%
DAL 90, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.84,0	90.8%