NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	121		Excitement	12.1 [18]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +77.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	123		Comeback	4.3 [252]		LVP	Trendon Watford (POR): -12.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.66	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.14,0.66	0.13	0.22	-0.30	17	74%	0.63	4	0.03	4	100%	0.03
Drew Eubanks	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	4	90%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.09	0.01	18	60%	0.25	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Keon Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.00	11	41%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	16	59%	0.29	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.78	0.78	0.10	0.67	-0.00	24	56%	0.87	2	-0.09	14	100%	0.19
Jalen Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.54	0.54	0.01	0.52	-0.01	12	48%	0.58	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.32
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	0.00	5	120%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	9	55%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	8	54%	0.22	2	-0.22	8	87%	0.11
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	9	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	28.2	14.4	30.3	1.7	35.7	138.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -58.9%

OKC +114.5%

POR -11.6%

POR -0.3%

OKC +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.7	12.7	14.4	119.8	120.6	113.4
season	14.7	13.7		113.4	113.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.8	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.4	18.9	14.2	16.6	15.7
OKC	14.3	11.1	13.0	12.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	71	74	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-12	22	15.6	15.8	-0.15	13.2	11.3	1.94
Trendon Watford	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	4	-10	13.7	16.6	-2.91	13.1	12.5	0.62
Shaedon Sharpe	22	22	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	5	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.89	12.4	12.8	-0.37
Drew Eubanks	65	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.38	8	-10	18	17.0	13.3	3.67	13.0	12.1	0.92
Keon Johnson	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	5	-12	16.1	15.5	0.62	11.3	13.2	-1.89
Jerami Grant	89	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.7	15.7	0.03	13.0	10.7	2.30
Justise Winslow	48	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	12	-26	14.9	16.5	-1.60	12.1	13.2	-1.16
Damian Lillard	82	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.56	0	-2	2	15.9	14.6	1.31	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Josh Hart	68	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.82	6	-8	14	15.7	15.6	0.13	12.7	12.6	0.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Joe	49	48	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.53	17	-15	32	12.2	13.1	-0.91	15.2	16.1	-0.84
Kenrich Williams	60	61	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.42	18	-16	34	12.0	13.7	-1.69	16.4	14.7	1.69
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	3	-4	12.7	12.8	-0.12	15.0	18.1	-3.10
Jalen Williams	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.61	-6	8	-14	12.4	13.4	-0.95	15.2	16.9	-1.64
Mike Muscala	34	33	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	-10	22	12.8	12.6	0.15	16.9	15.1	1.76
Lindy Waters III	24	24	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	-12	26	11.0	13.2	-2.16	16.1	15.6	0.57
Luguentz Dort	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.47	-9	11	-20	12.6	12.8	-0.20	15.7	15.7	0.05
Aleksej Pokusevski	47	46	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.15	-14	16	-30	14.2	11.4	2.85	16.0	15.4	0.56
Eugene Omoruyi	27	27	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.32	0	2	-2	10.8	13.4	-2.56	16.2	15.5	0.67
Aaron Wiggins	51	50	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	0.10	-21	23	-44	14.8	10.6	4.18	15.5	15.9	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.6,0.55,0.19,0.21,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.11,0.23,0.16,1	90.9%
TOR 110, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.28,1	90.0%
CLE 88, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	89.8%