inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 141 Excitement11.9 [21] MVPAlec Burks (DET): +52.7%
Charlotte Hornets 134 Comeback2.4 [380] LVPKelly Oubre Jr. (CHA): -14.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.530,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.53,0.530.240.310.021284%0.551-0.02887%0.03
Killian Hayes0.270,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.270.090.200.021958%0.332-0.06540%-0.02
Isaiah Stewart0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.130.100.001086%0.282-0.05250%-0.01
Kevin Knox II0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.170.060.00694%0.2200.006100%0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.11,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.031955%0.051-0.01683%-0.00
Marvin Bagley III0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jaden Ivey0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.02959%0.042-0.03475%0.00
Saddiq Bey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.02638%0.0000.0010%-0.01
Cory Joseph-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.0210%-0.014-0.0800%0.00
Jalen Duren-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13-0.10-0.030.01835%-0.053-0.08475%-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.230.080.00995%0.3100.004100%0.02
Terry Rozier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.140.14-0.050.19-0.002839%0.1400.00887%0.04
LaMelo Ball0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.12-0.020.021864%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Kai Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.020.01860%0.101-0.10450%-0.02
Theo Maledon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.00756%0.051-0.062100%0.01
Nick Richards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.030.00075%0.021-0.06475%-0.00
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.040.011736%-0.1000.002100%0.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14-0.140.03-0.18-0.002747%-0.111-0.04560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.51.831.914.828.51.834.22.512.6155.5
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +97.7%
CHA -6.8%
CHA -29.8%
CHA -11.1%
CHA -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game13.714.614.4124.8119.6113.4
season14.614.0109.6107.8
opponent14.314.2114.4117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET13.012.512.417.215.413.7
CHA13.713.214.316.317.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Duren79760.88-0.381.250.5212-51713.614.0-0.4114.913.90.94
Killian Hayes72690.68-0.180.870.3910-31314.212.91.3514.914.00.90
Isaiah Stewart87870.58-0.080.650.2212-51713.713.60.1314.913.41.43
Bojan Bogdanovic79770.55-0.050.600.328-1913.514.1-0.6214.913.71.22
Alec Burks58580.490.010.480.1113-61912.914.6-1.7214.015.1-1.08
Saddiq Bey38390.030.47-0.430.0016-513.713.70.0314.114.8-0.73
Marvin Bagley III22210.010.49-0.470.0107-713.613.7-0.1614.014.7-0.62
Jaden Ivey6262-0.040.54-0.59-0.1334-113.514.0-0.5914.414.8-0.37
Kevin Knox II4041-0.250.75-0.990.05-1017-2714.713.21.4814.214.7-0.49
Cory Joseph2830-0.430.93-1.36-0.02-1421-3514.213.50.7113.814.8-0.98

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kai Jones29290.25-0.750.990.076-131914.014.7-0.7513.713.70.01
LaMelo Ball71740.17-0.670.84-0.3016-233913.815.9-2.1314.512.32.19
Nick Richards42400.06-0.560.63-0.023-101313.915.0-1.1113.913.60.24
Theo Maledon3836-0.10-0.400.290.19-103-1314.914.40.4811.914.6-2.68
Kelly Oubre Jr.8385-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.26-4-3-114.614.40.1413.713.70.00
Jalen McDaniels7774-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-92-1114.215.3-1.1113.514.1-0.55
Mason Plumlee7073-0.560.06-0.63-0.27-103-1315.013.91.1113.613.9-0.24
Terry Rozier8889-0.690.19-0.89-0.25-158-2314.813.51.2913.813.50.33
P.J. Washington6265-0.840.34-1.18-0.49-125-1715.513.42.1214.013.40.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.55,0.22,0.08,0.54,0.32,0.45,0.57,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 92, IND 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.17,087.0%
TOR 128, PHI 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.28,087.0%
SAC 108, UTA 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.5,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,086.9%