NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	9.1 [116]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +15.2%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.4 [708]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -32.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.01	16	63%	0.21	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Chris Webber	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	20	59%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	6	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.05
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	15	54%	0.11	3	-0.17	5	60%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	22	53%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.13
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	69%	0.15	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	18	42%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	10	43%	-0.12	3	-0.10	10	50%	-0.05
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	8	32%	-0.20	2	-0.13	9	44%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	30.0	14.8	23.7	2.0	36.4	2.0	20.8	154.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +82.3%

UTA -18.1%

UTA -22.3%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.9	15.5	105.9	101.9	101.6
season	14.0	16.3		104.4	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	13.2	16.0	14.0	14.2	12.4	14.1
UTA	16.8	18.3	14.8	17.2	18.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	63	62	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.60	8	-5	13	13.9	14.4	-0.49	17.8	15.6	2.15
Mike Bibby	70	72	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-5	13	13.8	14.9	-1.12	17.4	15.8	1.61
Peja Stojakovic	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	13.3	16.6	-3.30	15.7	20.5	-4.81
Chris Webber	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	14.0	14.7	-0.73	17.0	16.1	0.95
Bobby Jackson	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.46	-6	9	-15	14.7	13.1	1.58	16.6	17.4	-0.89
Hedo Turkoglu	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	4	-5	16.6	13.5	3.10	18.6	16.5	2.11
Doug Christie	56	56	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.26	8	-5	13	14.0	14.2	-0.24	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Keon Clark	42	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	9	-15	14.8	13.6	1.15	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Jim Jackson	31	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	6	-9	14.0	14.1	-0.11	17.7	16.5	1.12

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	37	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-11	19	15.7	17.6	-1.92	15.3	13.4	1.91
Matt Harpring	46	47	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.19	-5	2	-7	17.0	16.8	0.25	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Tony Massenburg	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	15.1	17.4	-2.25	16.3	13.5	2.76
John Amaechi	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	0	-3	16.2	16.9	-0.68	11.4	14.2	-2.85
Scott Padgett	18	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-6	9	18.2	16.6	1.60	15.4	13.9	1.50
Andrei Kirilenko	67	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-8	13	16.2	18.2	-2.07	14.5	13.4	1.06
DeShawn Stevenson	61	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-10	17	17.1	16.6	0.52	14.8	13.2	1.55
Calbert Cheaney	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	8	-19	16.4	17.2	-0.79	13.2	14.8	-1.55
Karl Malone	84	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	16.5	18.9	-2.44	13.9	15.2	-1.35
John Stockton	66	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	8	-19	17.6	15.7	1.92	13.4	15.3	-1.91
Greg Ostertag	67	67	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.61	-4	1	-5	18.5	14.0	4.46	13.9	14.5	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.5,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	90.5%
CHA 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.16,0	90.0%
POR 97, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.05,0	89.4%