NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	7.4 [440]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): +28.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	9.9 [129]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -18.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.19	-0.03	15	59%	0.29	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Keegan Murray	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.04	8	112%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	3	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	9	71%	0.15	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.03
KZ Okpala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	47%	0.03	2	-0.07	14	57%	-0.10
Trey Lyles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	21	50%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	47%	0.05	4	-0.16	8	75%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	56%	0.00	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.21	-0.07	17	53%	0.05	6	-0.24	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	28.6	15.3	30.3	2.5	29.9	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +75.4%

CLE -11.6%

CLE -20.7%

SAC +7.2%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	13.6	16.3	14.4	110.4	97.9	113.4
season	13.5	15.1		117.3	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.0	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	12.8	17.4	11.3	13.6
CLE	15.1	16.0	15.4	18.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	62	62	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.14	26	-15	41	13.3	14.1	-0.83	16.8	15.4	1.33
Kevin Huerter	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-3	17	14.0	12.6	1.33	16.3	16.3	-0.03
Davion Mitchell	64	65	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-4	19	13.9	12.8	1.16	16.3	16.2	0.09
Domantas Sabonis	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	0	11	14.3	11.0	3.37	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Harrison Barnes	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	2	7	13.7	13.0	0.78	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Chimezie Metu	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	11	-11	11.0	14.3	-3.37	16.9	16.1	0.76
KZ Okpala	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	15	-19	14.2	13.5	0.76	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Trey Lyles	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	14	-17	12.9	13.9	-1.04	16.4	16.2	0.24
Matthew Dellavedova	32	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	17	-23	12.8	13.9	-1.16	16.5	16.2	0.27
Malik Monk	44	45	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	18	-25	13.4	13.7	-0.22	16.0	16.5	-0.56

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	35	35	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-15	19	16.0	16.5	-0.48	12.9	13.9	-0.96
Lamar Stevens	51	50	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-12	13	15.5	17.1	-1.58	15.5	11.5	3.98
Isaac Okoro	36	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-3	-5	17.2	15.8	1.41	12.9	13.9	-0.95
Evan Mobley	81	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-7	3	16.0	17.8	-1.84	13.7	12.9	0.73
Cedi Osman	71	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-7	3	16.6	15.3	1.38	12.8	15.6	-2.83
Darius Garland	70	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	2	-15	16.8	15.0	1.77	13.8	13.0	0.76
Jarrett Allen	65	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	-1	-9	16.2	16.5	-0.38	13.9	12.9	1.01
Caris LeVert	76	74	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.18	-21	10	-31	16.1	16.8	-0.68	13.0	15.5	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.25,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.63,0.43,0.15,0	91.4%
DET 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.17,0	90.7%
WAS 105, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.72,0.33,0.09,0	90.4%