NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	7.9 [354]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +40.9%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.3 [356]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -16.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.G. Anunoby	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	7	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.06
Pascal Siakam	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.02,0.01	0.14	-0.11	0.02	27	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Khem Birch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Koloko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.13	-0.01	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	0.02	-0.16	0.03	14	51%	-0.13	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.41	0.41	0.31	0.13	0.03	15	89%	0.50	1	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	11	79%	0.18	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.02
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	82%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0	0.00	0.07	-0.08	-0.02	9	83%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	46%	0.11	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	31.4	15.4	26.5	2.3	30.5	130.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +103.7%

TOR -18.9%

ORL +9.9%

TOR -40.8%

TOR -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	14.4	111.2	115.3	113.4
season	14.7	14.3		114.0	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.5		113.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	13.8	14.1	14.8	14.0
ORL	14.4	15.0	14.2	18.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	12	13	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-8	12	15.9	13.7	2.22	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Chris Boucher	46	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-13	22	13.2	14.6	-1.38	15.5	15.3	0.24
Pascal Siakam	80	81	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-16	28	13.7	15.1	-1.40	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-13	22	13.7	14.5	-0.79	15.9	14.1	1.84
Thaddeus Young	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	3	-10	13.3	14.2	-0.84	15.5	15.4	0.05
O.G. Anunoby	90	89	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-9	14	14.0	13.5	0.51	15.6	13.4	2.17
Christian Koloko	28	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	9	-22	14.5	13.7	0.79	14.1	15.9	-1.84
Fred VanVleet	75	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	11	-26	14.0	13.8	0.19	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Scottie Barnes	65	63	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.14	-24	20	-44	14.6	12.8	1.78	15.5	15.3	0.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	78	77	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-14	32	15.1	16.8	-1.74	14.9	10.7	4.20
Markelle Fultz	52	51	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-8	20	15.6	15.3	0.30	14.7	13.2	1.49
Moritz Wagner	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	14.7	16.7	-2.06	14.1	13.8	0.31
Franz Wagner	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-2	8	15.2	15.8	-0.60	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Kevon Harris	15	15	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-4	12	12.9	15.9	-3.01	15.8	13.6	2.16
Bol Bol	59	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	-1	6	15.3	15.6	-0.28	14.3	13.4	0.99
Mo Bamba	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	6	-8	16.7	14.7	2.06	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Admiral Schofield	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	8	-12	16.3	15.0	1.23	13.2	14.3	-1.13
Terrence Ross	42	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.24	-14	18	-32	16.2	14.8	1.35	12.3	15.2	-2.99
Cole Anthony	47	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.22	-15	19	-34	15.8	15.0	0.79	13.7	14.2	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	91.7%
BOS 89, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,1	91.2%
LAC 91, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.58,1	90.8%