NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	119		Excitement	9.9 [93]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +45.4%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	5.5 [338]		LVP	John Wall (LAC): -20.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,-0.02,0.45	0.01	0.43	-0.01	15	50%	0.47	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	5	82%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	6	87%	0.22	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Terance Mann	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Moses Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	69%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	15	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	13	37%	-0.10	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.01	23	54%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.01	6	79%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.03	0.17	-0.02	22	46%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.15	0.02	21	62%	0.06	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.11	0.00	8	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	28.9	14.4	23.5	2.3	32.2	127.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +51.1%

LAC +5.4%

LAC +11.2%

CHA -9.9%

CHA -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.4	120.2	118.2	113.4
season	14.6	14.0		113.7	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.4	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	14.7	13.8	16.5	14.8
CHA	12.8	16.6	14.5	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	54	56	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.48	14	-12	26	13.6	16.3	-2.67	14.7	13.7	1.03
Nicolas Batum	42	42	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.18	23	-21	44	13.2	16.0	-2.73	15.9	13.1	2.73
Terance Mann	32	32	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-13	28	12.8	15.7	-2.90	15.7	13.6	2.12
Luke Kennard	43	42	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-8	18	12.6	16.5	-3.85	14.5	14.1	0.46
Moses Brown	22	21	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-6	14	12.0	15.6	-3.67	15.0	14.1	0.85
Kawhi Leonard	56	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	10	-18	16.5	12.6	3.85	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Paul George	56	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	10	-18	16.5	12.6	3.85	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Reggie Jackson	66	66	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.23	-10	12	-22	15.5	13.4	2.17	13.6	15.6	-1.94
Marcus Morris Sr.	62	61	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.18	-15	17	-32	16.2	12.5	3.62	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Ivica Zubac	62	61	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.08	-19	21	-40	15.3	13.9	1.38	13.4	15.6	-2.19

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	58	58	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.27	14	-16	30	13.4	15.6	-2.22	15.8	13.4	2.46
P.J. Washington	70	71	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-14	26	13.5	16.2	-2.77	15.5	13.0	2.57
Jalen McDaniels	70	71	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-14	26	13.5	16.2	-2.77	15.5	13.0	2.57
Theo Maledon	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	2	-6	14.1	14.4	-0.33	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Terry Rozier	77	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.47	7	-9	16	14.5	13.4	1.12	14.7	15.1	-0.36
Kai Jones	29	28	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	12	-26	16.2	13.5	2.77	13.0	15.5	-2.57
Kelly Oubre Jr.	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	0	-2	14.1	15.1	-0.94	15.3	12.3	3.04
Nick Richards	41	41	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.17	-16	14	-30	15.6	13.4	2.22	13.4	15.8	-2.46
Bryce McGowens	36	35	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.13	-19	17	-36	15.9	13.4	2.52	13.0	15.8	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.77,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.43,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.58,0	89.4%
DAL 81, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.24,0.42,0	89.3%
SAC 109, VAN 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.16,0.43,0.82,0	89.2%