NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	10.2 [53]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +25.3%
Vancouver Grizzlies	106		Comeback	8.0 [194]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -40.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.25	-0.01	0.22	-0.05	20	48%	0.28	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Lawrence Funderburke	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	65%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.00	6	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.09
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0	0.05	-0.05	0.00	9	74%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.06
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	13	45%	-0.11	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.27,-0.41	-0.13	-0.28	-0.00	11	32%	-0.24	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	17	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	8	55%	0.09	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.02	-0.02	9	42%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	15	51%	0.01	3	-0.14	7	71%	0.05
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.21	-0.21	0.01	-0.22	0.01	19	54%	-0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	30.4	15.6	27.2	2.7	41.7	144.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +5.9%

SAC +26.8%

SAC +12.9%

SAC +4.8%

VAN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	VAN	NBA	SAC	VAN	NBA
this game	12.7	13.5	15.2	100.0	95.5	101.7
season	13.8	15.9		102.9	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.7		105.9	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	11.6	12.5	13.5	12.7
VAN	11.7	14.6	12.8	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	58	59	0.92	-0.41	1.33	0.39	18	-15	33	11.9	13.5	-1.56	15.0	11.9	3.10
Darrick Martin	40	39	0.59	-0.08	0.67	0.21	13	-10	23	12.8	12.6	0.30	15.2	12.6	2.61
Tyrone Corbin	36	37	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-3	9	11.9	13.0	-1.15	14.9	12.8	2.07
Vlade Divac	67	70	0.54	-0.03	0.57	0.28	9	-6	15	11.9	13.9	-2.06	14.1	12.6	1.47
Chris Webber	66	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	4	-5	13.3	11.7	1.59	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Tony Delk	18	19	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-4	11	12.7	12.7	0.01	15.5	13.1	2.43
Scot Pollard	38	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	0	3	14.7	11.5	3.19	13.0	13.8	-0.80
Lawrence Funderburke	46	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	11.5	13.5	-2.05	13.8	13.3	0.41
Jason Williams	70	74	-0.05	0.56	-0.61	0.27	-11	14	-25	12.4	13.2	-0.81	12.4	15.7	-3.28
Nick Anderson	55	56	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	15	-27	13.2	12.1	1.02	11.8	15.3	-3.45
Corliss Williamson	51	52	-0.41	0.92	-1.33	0.03	-15	18	-33	13.5	11.9	1.56	11.9	15.0	-3.10

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	16	15	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.11	8	-11	19	8.7	14.3	-5.64	16.0	12.1	3.87
Felipe Lopez	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	2	-7	15.1	13.0	2.11	12.9	12.6	0.35
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	96	94	-0.18	-0.33	0.15	-0.30	4	-7	11	12.9	17.1	-4.19	13.2	9.3	3.94
Brent Price	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.07	-4	1	-5	17.1	12.8	4.33	13.1	12.6	0.54
Bryant Reeves	63	64	-0.22	-0.29	0.08	0.28	-17	14	-31	15.4	11.1	4.32	12.5	12.9	-0.43
Dennis Scott	23	22	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	15.0	13.1	1.93	9.1	13.6	-4.47
Michael Dickerson	86	84	-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	-0.45	6	-9	15	12.8	16.0	-3.16	12.3	14.0	-1.69
Mike Bibby	92	89	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-4	5	12.8	17.1	-4.33	12.6	13.1	-0.54
Cherokee Parks	60	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.75	7	-10	17	12.5	14.7	-2.17	13.1	12.2	0.95
Othella Harrington	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	10	-23	14.3	12.0	2.26	12.5	13.0	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.16,0.43,0.82,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.58,0	90.2%
DAL 81, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.24,0.42,0	89.9%
MEM 103, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.32,0.47,0	89.6%