NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	118		Excitement	9.6 [121]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +47.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	7.0 [156]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -26.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.19,0.47	0.08	0.40	0.00	10	70%	0.51	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.08	0.03	24	65%	0.28	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.01	14	64%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	61%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.03
Alex Caruso	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.09	0.01	5	73%	0.06	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.27	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27	0.01	-0.26	0.02	17	47%	-0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.15	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	4	25%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	27	57%	0.36	8	-0.36	9	67%	-0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.08	-0.12	0.03	16	57%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.11
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	6	70%	0.11	7	-0.34	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.4	14.0	31.3	2.4	38.2	142.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.3%

MIL -3.4%

MIL -26.7%

CHI +47.0%

MIL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.2	14.4	112.4	108.7	113.4
season	14.1	14.0		112.0	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.9		111.1	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.3	12.7	13.2	14.1	13.3
MIL	13.9	17.0	14.0	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	57	56	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-10	25	13.0	13.7	-0.65	15.7	12.6	3.10
DeMar DeRozan	85	85	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-9	23	13.2	13.9	-0.72	13.5	17.6	-4.07
Nikola Vucevic	66	68	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.37	13	-8	21	13.0	13.9	-0.93	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Coby White	52	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-2	9	14.1	12.5	1.59	15.9	12.7	3.14
Javonte Green	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	0	5	14.1	12.8	1.29	15.4	13.6	1.77
Zach LaVine	75	74	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.40	-12	17	-29	13.5	12.9	0.63	13.3	16.6	-3.35
Andre Drummond	35	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	13.7	13.1	0.51	16.4	13.2	3.18
Ayo Dosunmu	56	56	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	9	-13	13.2	13.5	-0.29	13.5	15.1	-1.55
Patrick Williams	60	59	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.09	-9	14	-23	12.6	14.2	-1.55	13.4	15.4	-2.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	80	82	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-17	29	12.7	19.4	-6.66	13.7	11.8	1.96
Jevon Carter	55	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-11	17	12.6	16.1	-3.50	14.0	12.6	1.43
Pat Connaughton	30	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-5	5	15.1	13.9	1.24	12.3	13.8	-1.47
Jordan Nwora	13	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	16.5	13.9	2.53	12.3	13.4	-1.11
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-9	13	13.8	15.3	-1.48	13.3	13.4	-0.19
Wesley Matthews	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	6	-17	15.1	13.8	1.29	13.5	13.2	0.28
Bobby Portis	56	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.09	-13	8	-21	14.7	13.7	0.93	13.3	13.3	-0.03
George Hill	37	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	8	-21	17.4	12.5	4.86	13.4	13.3	0.17
Grayson Allen	81	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	14.3	14.2	0.04	13.2	14.0	-0.80
Brook Lopez	68	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.56	-6	1	-7	14.9	13.0	1.91	13.0	13.9	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, LAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.47,0.43,0.55,0.42,0	91.0%
DEN 92, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.58,0	90.7%
MIN 127, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.42,0	90.1%