NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	3.6 [1065]		MVP	Moritz Wagner (ORL): +14.0%
Orlando Magic	88		Comeback	1.0 [1056]		LVP	Devin Cannady (ORL): -13.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	7	100%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.04	19	51%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	16	59%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	20	56%	0.08	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	44%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	58%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ignas Brazdeikis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	0.08	13	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	-0.09	11	26%	-0.04	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Devin Cannady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	9	20%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	24.5	14.8	26.4	2.3	26.5	124.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.5%

ORL -0.1%

NYK +11.9%

ORL -4.6%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	14.5	122.9	91.7	110.8
season	15.1	14.4		109.4	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	15.4	14.5	19.7	15.7
ORL	14.3	13.9	15.5	12.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	66	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.65	44	-14	58	14.8	17.8	-3.04	14.3	13.5	0.82
Obi Toppin	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.76	46	-16	62	15.2	17.2	-2.04	14.7	12.2	2.52
Mitchell Robinson	60	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	6	18	15.6	15.9	-0.38	13.6	14.7	-1.07
RJ Barrett	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.48	29	1	28	15.0	17.6	-2.62	14.3	13.5	0.78
Immanuel Quickley	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.24	18	12	6	15.9	15.1	0.83	13.9	14.4	-0.42
Evan Fournier	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	23	-16	14.9	16.1	-1.18	14.6	13.8	0.81
Quentin Grimes	30	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	31	-32	17.4	15.0	2.41	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Jericho Sims	36	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	24	-18	15.9	15.6	0.38	14.7	13.6	1.07
Ryan Arcidiacono	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	27	-24	22.5	15.6	6.94	10.0	14.1	-4.15
Miles McBride	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.22	-10	40	-50	18.4	14.9	3.44	13.0	14.4	-1.38
Taj Gibson	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.38	-16	46	-62	17.2	15.2	2.04	12.2	14.7	-2.52

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	57	56	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.14	-1	-29	28	13.0	15.6	-2.66	17.0	13.8	3.19
Terrence Ross	49	49	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-34	38	13.9	14.3	-0.38	16.1	15.3	0.80
Markelle Fultz	44	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-31	32	13.8	14.2	-0.41	16.0	15.4	0.58
Cole Anthony	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-27	24	17.7	13.9	3.85	13.4	15.8	-2.44
Robin Lopez	38	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.30	-12	-18	6	13.6	14.3	-0.71	15.5	15.8	-0.36
Ignas Brazdeikis	74	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.66	-37	7	-44	14.3	13.2	1.14	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Mo Bamba	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.12	-20	-10	-10	14.4	13.5	0.93	15.9	15.4	0.59
Devin Cannady	61	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	-12	-6	13.9	14.4	-0.49	16.4	14.7	1.68
Chuma Okeke	40	42	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.20	-27	-3	-24	15.5	13.1	2.42	13.8	17.2	-3.38
R.J. Hampton	56	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.47	-37	7	-44	14.0	14.2	-0.19	15.1	16.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, NOP 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAL 120, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
TOR 101, CHI 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%