NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	5.5 [738]		MVP	Luke Kennard (LAC): +38.3%
LA Clippers	121		Comeback	64.4 [27]		LVP	Marcus Morris Sr. (LAC): -8.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juancho Hernangomez	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	4	137%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.08	-0.02	7	45%	0.12	3	-0.09	6	17%	-0.05
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	15	45%	0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.04	13	70%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.08	0.05	-0.10	0.03	21	61%	0.16	6	-0.24	12	75%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.17	0.26	0.05	9	89%	0.38	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.15	0.01	7	78%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.05	-0.04	24	41%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.18	-0.00	0.16	20	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.03	5	73%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	30.5	16.5	33.8	2.8	37.4	150.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +13.9%

LAC +3.2%

LAC +2.9%

LAC +27.2%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.5	121.1	128.7	110.8
season	14.8	14.6		115.1	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	16.5	16.1	15.0	16.1
LAC	15.9	14.2	12.7	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	12	15	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-16	26	15.4	16.2	-0.76	16.1	14.1	2.08
Juancho Hernangomez	55	52	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-12	18	17.3	14.4	2.82	15.0	13.6	1.38
Rudy Gay	33	35	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.20	-3	-3	0	14.9	16.7	-1.80	12.4	15.6	-3.16
Eric Paschall	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-4	2	16.9	16.0	0.93	15.8	14.2	1.59
Greg Monroe	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.17	-5	-1	-4	16.8	15.9	0.88	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Mike Conley	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.63	8	-14	22	16.2	15.9	0.22	15.0	13.2	1.81
Rudy Gobert	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.50	-1	-5	4	15.9	16.8	-0.88	14.8	12.7	2.06
Donovan Mitchell	72	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	3	-12	16.1	16.2	-0.12	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Royce O'Neale	67	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	3	-12	16.0	16.3	-0.34	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Jordan Clarkson	67	66	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.09	-25	19	-44	15.7	16.9	-1.20	14.1	15.0	-0.93

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	41	44	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.29	20	-14	34	14.1	14.6	-0.55	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	50	50	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.11	25	-19	44	13.7	15.2	-1.54	16.8	15.3	1.47
Luke Kennard	70	69	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.14	22	-16	38	13.5	17.0	-3.46	16.6	14.8	1.76
Paul George	62	61	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-9	24	14.0	15.1	-1.12	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Reggie Jackson	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.73	-11	17	-28	15.0	12.5	2.46	15.8	17.2	-1.43
Amir Coffey	1	2	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	3	0	3.0	14.5	-11.51	12.5	16.2	-3.66
Terance Mann	44	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.35	8	-2	10	14.4	14.4	-0.04	16.1	16.1	-0.04
Nicolas Batum	43	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.08	-12	18	-30	14.7	14.1	0.54	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Ivica Zubac	33	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.25	-21	27	-48	16.8	13.1	3.71	15.5	16.4	-0.83
Marcus Morris Sr.	54	52	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.11	-19	25	-44	14.6	14.0	0.58	16.3	15.8	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.32,0.64,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	93.0%
TOR 103, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.63,0.85,0.92,1	91.8%
MIA 96, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.72,1	91.6%