NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	11.9 [21]		MVP	Josh Richardson (SAS): +57.2%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	7.1 [175]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -30.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0.57	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.57,0.57	0.19	0.39	0.01	12	83%	0.59	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.46	0.00	0.40	-0.06	15	42%	0.46	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.22	-0.04	0.26	0.01	7	35%	0.22	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.20
Devin Vassell	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.08	-0.00	12	43%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.06
Zach Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Wieskamp	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joshua Primo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	7	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,0.05,-0.18,-0.31	-0.07	-0.24	-0.00	24	39%	-0.15	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.24	0.24	-0.02	0.25	-0.01	13	46%	0.27	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.05
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	21	64%	0.20	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.02	22	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Chiozza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	13	53%	0.03	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	29.4	15.4	30.4	1.8	31.1	135.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.2%

SAS +25.0%

GSW -21.5%

GSW -2.1%

SAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	14.5	114.6	111.3	110.8
season	13.9	14.2		111.3	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.6		106.7	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	14.5	16.1	16.8	15.8
GSW	13.5	14.8	14.5	13.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	50	50	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.68	11	-9	20	16.5	15.2	1.29	14.5	13.5	0.93
Keldon Johnson	70	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	14.7	18.8	-4.12	14.3	13.3	1.04
Tre Jones	40	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-8	18	16.7	15.2	1.47	14.2	13.9	0.32
Josh Richardson	51	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	5	-8	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.1	14.0	0.10
Joshua Primo	73	70	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-8	18	15.3	17.6	-2.32	13.4	15.7	-2.30
Devin Vassell	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-2	6	16.2	15.1	1.15	14.5	13.0	1.46
Dejounte Murray	68	71	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.35	-8	10	-18	15.3	17.1	-1.73	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Zach Collins	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	8	-14	14.8	16.7	-1.92	13.1	14.7	-1.54
Joe Wieskamp	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	11	-20	17.3	15.7	1.63	15.2	13.9	1.33
Jock Landale	11	11	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.09	-7	9	-16	20.5	15.2	5.31	14.7	13.9	0.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	45	44	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.21	11	-13	24	14.0	14.1	-0.10	17.5	14.4	3.06
Nemanja Bjelica	48	48	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-12	22	13.3	14.7	-1.34	17.4	14.2	3.19
Draymond Green	38	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	14.2	13.9	0.37	15.5	16.0	-0.55
Chris Chiozza	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-4	6	13.8	14.1	-0.28	17.5	14.8	2.72
Andrew Wiggins	66	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-3	4	14.2	13.7	0.44	15.1	17.6	-2.44
Otto Porter Jr.	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-3	4	13.2	15.3	-2.15	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Jordan Poole	75	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	6	-14	14.3	13.1	1.19	15.0	18.6	-3.56
Klay Thompson	79	76	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	11	-24	14.3	12.9	1.38	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Kevon Looney	37	37	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.55	-15	13	-28	14.9	13.5	1.43	14.3	16.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.21,0.12,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.16,0	91.2%
HOU 98, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,0	90.5%
BOS 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.55,0.32,0.26,0	90.5%