NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	117		Excitement	7.2 [411]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (NOP): +42.2%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	1.3 [417]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): -13.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.42,0.42	0.14	0.28	-0.00	16	68%	0.48	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.07
Jose Alvarado	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	9	68%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Herbert Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	73%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	55%	0.07	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Tyrone Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.04,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	26	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Trey Murphy III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	48%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	10	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.18,0.09,0.13	0.13	-0.05	0.16	-0.02	14	58%	0.26	7	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	18	54%	0.12	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.06	0.04	21	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	28.2	14.6	21.4	2.3	35.6	128.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +3.0%

NOP +19.2%

NOP +37.4%

ATL -10.5%

NOP +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.2	14.5	110.4	105.7	110.8
season	14.7	14.6		110.9	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.6		113.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.4	15.2	13.8	15.8	14.0
ATL	13.8	12.5	13.4	13.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	81	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-12	29	13.8	14.4	-0.61	13.3	12.8	0.47
Jaxson Hayes	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-10	25	14.2	13.2	0.96	13.3	12.9	0.42
CJ McCollum	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-7	19	13.8	14.5	-0.69	13.3	12.9	0.43
Jose Alvarado	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	-2	9	12.8	15.2	-2.40	13.2	13.2	-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	4	-3	15.0	11.8	3.16	13.5	12.5	1.02
Willy Hernangomez	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	11.8	15.0	-3.16	12.5	13.5	-1.02
Naji Marshall	57	57	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	10	-15	14.8	13.0	1.88	13.2	13.2	0.03
Gary Clark	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	9	-13	14.5	13.9	0.58	13.3	13.2	0.11
Trey Murphy III	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	14	-23	13.8	14.0	-0.18	12.7	13.4	-0.68
Tyrone Wallace	21	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	18	-31	14.9	13.8	1.10	12.8	13.3	-0.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	32	32	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.23	14	-19	33	12.2	13.6	-1.49	14.9	13.6	1.34
Onyeka Okongwu	37	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-12	19	13.0	13.3	-0.30	13.7	14.1	-0.37
Delon Wright	57	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-14	23	12.9	13.6	-0.66	14.5	13.4	1.13
Bogdan Bogdanovic	73	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-11	17	13.0	13.6	-0.59	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Danilo Gallinari	89	89	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-9	13	13.3	12.8	0.45	14.8	9.9	4.87
Kevin Huerter	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	10	-25	13.2	13.2	0.07	13.1	14.5	-1.41
Clint Capela	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	7	-19	13.3	13.0	0.30	14.3	13.4	0.86
De'Andre Hunter	57	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.04	-19	14	-33	13.6	12.7	0.86	12.8	15.4	-2.60
Trae Young	74	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.12	-19	14	-33	13.6	12.2	1.49	13.6	14.9	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 132, MEM 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.27,0	92.3%
MEM 116, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.41,0.08,0	92.2%
HOU 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0	92.1%