NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	12.1 [19]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +51.5%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	10.7 [321]		LVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): -28.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.52	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.52	0.17	0.36	0.02	18	67%	0.52	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Georges Niang	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.01	10	45%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Isaiah Joe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.28,0.22,0.13,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	28	48%	0.05	2	-0.05	17	88%	-0.03
Shake Milton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	19	49%	0.04	3	-0.16	15	87%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.3,0.48,0.31	0.31	0.05	0.25	-0.00	12	59%	0.36	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.10
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.01	0.00	7	93%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	8	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.12	0.01	19	57%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	7	36%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28	-0.28	-0.05	-0.24	-0.00	6	37%	-0.25	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	29.2	14.8	29.2	1.7	34.2	2.6	20.2	159.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -4.7%

PHI +45.0%

ORL -13.4%

PHI +3.1%

PHI +20.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.8	14.5	112.6	107.5	110.8
season	15.2	14.4		112.4	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.2	18.0	14.3	18.3	17.4	16.7
ORL	10.4	14.7	15.1	16.0	13.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	87	90	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-13	28	16.3	18.6	-2.22	14.4	10.5	3.87
Tobias Harris	81	84	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-10	22	17.4	14.2	3.19	14.4	11.3	3.17
Joel Embiid	79	82	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-9	20	16.3	18.0	-1.65	14.2	12.2	1.98
James Harden	84	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-2	6	17.5	13.3	4.14	13.8	13.6	0.26
Matisse Thybulle	38	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	15.9	17.2	-1.26	12.5	14.6	-2.06
Georges Niang	69	71	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	16.7	16.7	-0.07	14.3	12.8	1.51
DeAndre Jordan	24	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	11	-20	18.0	16.3	1.65	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Shake Milton	26	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.03	-11	13	-24	14.8	17.3	-2.57	11.2	14.7	-3.44
Isaiah Joe	27	26	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.11	-8	10	-18	16.4	16.8	-0.38	12.8	14.1	-1.29

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markelle Fultz	42	40	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.07	12	-14	26	12.3	14.7	-2.40	15.6	17.4	-1.82
Moritz Wagner	29	28	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.03	11	-13	24	12.6	14.2	-1.60	17.6	16.3	1.31
Gary Harris	36	36	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-7	12	12.7	14.3	-1.65	16.9	16.6	0.26
Chuma Okeke	39	39	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-11	20	13.4	14.0	-0.63	18.1	15.8	2.27
Mo Bamba	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	7	-16	14.2	13.3	0.91	15.6	18.0	-2.42
Jalen Suggs	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	7	-16	14.0	13.6	0.45	16.0	17.3	-1.30
R.J. Hampton	55	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.58	4	-6	10	13.7	13.9	-0.23	17.4	16.0	1.44
Franz Wagner	70	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.45	-7	5	-12	14.3	12.7	1.65	16.6	16.9	-0.26
Cole Anthony	70	69	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.45	-11	9	-20	14.6	12.2	2.32	17.3	15.5	1.78
Wendell Carter Jr.	77	75	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.47	-13	11	-24	14.2	12.6	1.60	16.3	17.6	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.32,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.55,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.67,0.73,0	86.4%
BOS 112, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.78,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.42,0	86.3%
LAL 107, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.91,0.95,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.45,0.57,0	86.3%