NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	8.9 [113]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): +25.7%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	41.4 [33]		LVP	Chris Kaman (NOH): -38.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15,-0.15,0.07,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.15	0.01	23	58%	0.38	4	-0.16	11	100%	0.16
Metta World Peace	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16	-0.00	0.15	-0.01	7	44%	0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	5	77%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	17	61%	0.25	4	-0.19	7	71%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	0.01	18	44%	-0.09	6	-0.16	5	80%	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.10	0.02	21	65%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.02	7	94%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.04	-0.03	13	33%	0.09	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Foote	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.15,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.39	-0.39	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	20	48%	-0.04	6	-0.34	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	0.8	29.2	15.7	25.0	1.8	34.1	2.5	20.8	154.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -10.7%

LAL +36.7%

LAL +26.9%

NOH -3.4%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	105.9	102.0	102.8
season	16.2	16.3		103.8	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.2	16.0	16.0	17.6	12.6	16.0
NOH	14.3	16.7	16.0	17.5	13.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	66	65	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-7	20	15.9	16.2	-0.36	16.4	14.6	1.86
Metta World Peace	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-4	14	15.7	16.5	-0.82	16.3	14.8	1.42
Andrew Bynum	86	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	1	4	16.7	11.7	5.00	16.0	14.7	1.34
Kobe Bryant	93	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-2	10	15.9	17.1	-1.23	15.8	15.6	0.20
Pau Gasol	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-5	16	16.0	16.0	0.05	16.1	14.5	1.58
Matt Barnes	37	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	8	-10	14.8	16.7	-1.82	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Josh McRoberts	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	5	-4	15.7	16.0	-0.30	19.4	15.5	3.90
Jason Kapono	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	17.1	15.9	1.23	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Steve Blake	35	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	12	-18	16.2	15.9	0.36	14.6	16.4	-1.86
Troy Murphy	26	26	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.03	-8	14	-22	15.9	16.0	-0.09	14.2	16.4	-2.19

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	45	43	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.19	8	-14	22	15.9	15.7	0.15	16.7	15.5	1.23
Jeff Foote	13	14	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-11	16	15.2	15.9	-0.75	17.2	15.8	1.42
Xavier Henry	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-5	4	17.2	15.6	1.64	17.3	15.8	1.44
Lance Thomas	37	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-6	6	14.5	16.6	-2.02	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Greivis Vasquez	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-6	6	15.9	15.8	0.14	15.7	16.1	-0.48
Gustavo Ayon	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	2	-10	16.6	14.8	1.84	16.7	15.0	1.72
Jarrett Jack	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	15.7	16.0	-0.26	15.5	17.3	-1.77
Trevor Ariza	81	83	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.44	-8	2	-10	15.8	16.0	-0.23	15.8	16.9	-1.16
Chris Kaman	85	86	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.44	-10	4	-14	15.9	15.5	0.36	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Marco Belinelli	62	66	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.42	-11	5	-16	15.7	16.1	-0.39	15.6	16.7	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.91,0.95,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.45,0.57,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 135, GSW 134	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,0	89.8%
IND 96, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.16,0	88.7%
TOR 99, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	88.7%