NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	7.2 [405]		MVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): +22.1%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	2.0 [884]		LVP	Lou Williams (ATL): -9.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	13	80%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Luke Kennard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	6	93%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.05
Amir Coffey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	20	55%	0.10	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.12	-0.04	7	75%	0.22	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.06	-0.07	17	59%	0.25	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.08
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.02	-0.04	12	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	43%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	78%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	26.3	15.3	30.4	1.6	28.8	129.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.1%

ATL +4.5%

ATL +19.4%

ATL +12.8%

LAC -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	14.5	115.2	121.7	110.8
season	14.6	14.6		108.8	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		113.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	13.8	17.6	16.7	15.8
ATL	14.1	16.2	14.5	17.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Boston Jr.	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-6	6	13.6	16.1	-2.52	17.6	15.2	2.36
Ivica Zubac	71	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-14	22	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Marcus Morris Sr.	49	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	1	-8	16.2	15.3	0.84	13.9	17.5	-3.66
Terance Mann	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	14.9	16.4	-1.43	17.0	14.5	2.50
Nicolas Batum	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-6	6	16.1	15.0	1.04	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Luke Kennard	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-9	12	15.0	17.1	-2.10	16.7	13.5	3.27
Isaiah Hartenstein	21	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	8	-22	16.0	15.7	0.30	15.7	15.5	0.20
Reggie Jackson	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	0	-6	16.0	14.7	1.31	15.2	17.1	-1.83
Amir Coffey	43	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	17.2	14.6	2.61	16.0	15.1	0.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-2	10	15.0	17.4	-2.39	15.8	15.6	0.18
Danilo Gallinari	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	3	0	16.9	13.6	3.28	15.8	15.7	0.16
Kevin Huerter	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	6	-6	15.2	16.6	-1.45	16.1	14.7	1.37
Clint Capela	52	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	1	4	14.3	17.1	-2.73	15.9	15.6	0.28
Bogdan Bogdanovic	54	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	-2	10	15.8	15.1	0.73	15.8	15.7	0.17
De'Andre Hunter	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	5	-4	15.1	16.0	-0.90	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Onyeka Okongwu	31	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	7	-8	17.4	14.6	2.80	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Delon Wright	8	8	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	19.7	15.1	4.62	16.5	15.7	0.80
John Collins	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	14.1	17.1	-3.00	15.8	15.7	0.08
Lou Williams	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	6	-6	17.0	15.1	1.93	14.6	16.1	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 92, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%
HOU 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.91,0.93,1,1,1	92.5%
ATL 111, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.95,1,1	92.4%