NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	9.0 [130]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): +33.5%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	8.7 [222]		LVP	Deni Avdija (WAS): -17.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	10	75%	0.22	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.25,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	10	62%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Corey Kispert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.15	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	5	33%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle Kuzma	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	5	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.33	0.34	0.00	0.33	-0.01	8	50%	0.36	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.11	-0.02	15	79%	0.36	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	12	76%	0.25	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.04	0.02	21	70%	0.18	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	13	38%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	29.4	15.3	24.7	2.4	36.5	133.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.9%

LAC +5.9%

WAS -23.2%

LAC +26.7%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.5	16.0	14.5	111.2	118.6	110.8
season	14.9	14.6		109.8	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.2	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	12.2	13.1	15.7	13.5
LAC	16.6	14.5	16.9	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	43	41	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.21	-2	-4	2	13.7	13.3	0.40	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Raul Neto	47	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	12.9	14.1	-1.25	17.2	15.1	2.10
Deni Avdija	40	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	1	-8	12.9	13.9	-1.05	15.5	16.4	-0.83
Ish Smith	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	13.2	13.7	-0.54	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	70	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-9	12	13.5	13.6	-0.07	16.5	15.0	1.42
Corey Kispert	50	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-7	8	13.1	14.0	-0.94	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Rui Hachimura	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	14.2	12.9	1.31	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Kyle Kuzma	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.3	13.9	-0.57	16.8	14.3	2.56
Kristaps Porzingis	53	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.56	-3	-3	0	13.8	13.2	0.55	16.2	15.8	0.35
Tomas Satoransky	38	38	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.45	-11	5	-16	14.8	12.7	2.12	15.3	16.5	-1.18

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	60	60	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-12	30	15.4	17.1	-1.65	14.0	12.8	1.15
Reggie Jackson	77	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-3	12	16.4	14.5	1.93	14.0	11.6	2.41
Marcus Morris Sr.	70	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-3	12	16.2	15.5	0.76	13.1	14.7	-1.61
Nicolas Batum	69	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.63	-5	11	-16	15.7	16.7	-1.01	13.2	14.2	-0.97
Isaiah Hartenstein	39	36	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-4	14	16.1	16.0	0.16	14.2	13.1	1.15
Luke Kennard	62	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	1	4	16.0	16.1	-0.13	14.0	12.6	1.43
Amir Coffey	55	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	8	-10	15.5	16.7	-1.16	12.2	15.0	-2.78
Ivica Zubac	53	55	-0.74	1.24	-1.97	-0.33	-14	20	-34	16.8	15.1	1.64	13.5	13.6	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.44,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.16,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.42,1	90.2%
PHX 114, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.09,1	90.2%
LAL 105, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.43,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.22,0.22,0.37,1	90.0%