NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	10.6 [69]		MVP	Derrick Rose (MIN): +51.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Comeback	10.4 [216]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -38.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	12	75%	0.24	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	52%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.08
Quincy Acy	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	15	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.03
Elie Okobo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Devin Booker	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.38	-0.06	-0.30	0.03	15	53%	0.07	5	-0.45	4	75%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.23,0.16,0.52	0.52	0.08	0.43	-0.01	24	54%	0.54	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.10
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.10	0.02	8	89%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.18	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	0.00	-0.17	0.02	22	53%	-0.07	4	-0.11	13	100%	0.06
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	14	29%	-0.19	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.3	32.4	14.5	30.4	2.3	31.9	143.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -1.0%

MIN +2.8%

MIN +17.3%

MIN +18.2%

MIN +12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.2	14.0	14.3	106.5	110.5	109.3
season	14.4	14.4		104.8	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.0		111.8	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	12.1	12.6	16.5	13.2
MIN	11.2	14.5	14.7	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	54	55	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.06	12	-14	26	11.7	14.7	-2.98	13.2	14.8	-1.64
De'Anthony Melton	29	28	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-6	10	13.1	13.3	-0.15	14.5	13.8	0.73
Elie Okobo	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-5	8	12.5	13.3	-0.82	10.3	14.7	-4.38
Dragan Bender	61	61	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-4	6	13.9	12.3	1.52	15.1	12.4	2.67
Mikal Bridges	61	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-3	4	14.0	12.2	1.83	15.3	12.4	2.92
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	12.2	14.8	-2.66	14.3	13.4	0.86
Jamal Crawford	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	8	-18	13.8	12.8	1.03	14.2	13.7	0.49
Quincy Acy	45	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	12.5	13.7	-1.18	12.4	15.1	-2.67
T.J. Warren	84	83	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.47	-10	8	-18	13.6	11.7	1.94	13.4	16.1	-2.75
Devin Booker	73	70	-1.11	0.61	-1.71	-0.78	-11	9	-20	13.8	11.9	1.87	14.4	13.2	1.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-5	12	14.2	12.9	1.31	14.0	10.2	3.82
Derrick Rose	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	1	0	13.9	14.4	-0.51	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Dario Saric	46	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-5	12	13.2	14.6	-1.36	12.3	14.0	-1.67
Josh Okogie	24	29	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	0	2	13.8	14.0	-0.17	12.8	13.4	-0.58
Anthony Tolliver	32	31	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	-2	6	13.8	14.0	-0.26	14.2	12.8	1.42
Karl-Anthony Towns	85	87	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	1	0	14.3	12.6	1.62	13.1	13.7	-0.66
Taj Gibson	53	54	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	2	-2	13.3	14.7	-1.37	13.7	12.7	1.06
Luol Deng	10	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	12.5	14.1	-1.62	10.7	13.5	-2.77
Jeff Teague	52	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.09	-1	3	-4	14.2	13.7	0.49	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Gorgui Dieng	9	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	11	-20	13.0	14.1	-1.05	8.9	13.6	-4.72
Jerryd Bayless	46	46	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.27	-4	6	-10	15.1	13.1	2.00	13.6	13.0	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.15,1	90.0%
LAC 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	88.9%
UTA 95, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	88.5%