NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	123		Excitement	7.4 [380]		MVP	Goga Bitadze (IND): +28.8%
Washington Wizards	133		Comeback	3.1 [502]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -7.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goga Bitadze	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.22	0.07	0.00	7	118%	0.32	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.01	9	83%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	17	57%	0.16	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.03
Duane Washington Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Terry Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keifer Sykes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.08	-0.02	17	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Oshae Brissett	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	58%	0.06	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.11	0.01	12	74%	0.27	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.02	17	56%	0.25	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	2	150%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	91%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	28.6	14.5	29.5	2.4	31.6	134.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +47.5%

IND -2.1%

IND -6.5%

WAS +11.5%

IND -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.5	123.0	133.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		111.4	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.1	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	11.9	14.8	13.6	14.1
WAS	13.8	16.4	12.9	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keifer Sykes	20	20	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.04	13	-23	36	11.5	14.7	-3.25	16.1	14.3	1.75
Goga Bitadze	49	49	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.11	13	-23	36	12.6	15.5	-2.88	16.2	13.3	2.91
Duane Washington Jr.	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-10	10	13.6	14.7	-1.10	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Terry Taylor	17	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-7	4	15.6	13.8	1.86	13.4	14.9	-1.53
Isaiah Jackson	16	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	3	-16	16.2	13.7	2.56	13.1	15.0	-1.98
Jalen Smith	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-7	4	14.5	13.5	1.05	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Buddy Hield	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.10	-12	2	-14	14.5	12.3	2.19	15.0	13.3	1.69
Oshae Brissett	54	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.1	14.0	0.10	15.1	14.2	0.88
Tyrese Haliburton	77	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.09	-18	8	-26	14.6	12.4	2.16	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Malcolm Brogdon	73	74	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.30	-17	7	-24	14.0	14.5	-0.52	14.3	15.8	-1.50

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	75	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-11	32	14.3	16.0	-1.79	14.6	12.6	2.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	14.5	15.1	-0.58	14.8	12.5	2.30
Deni Avdija	64	63	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	14.9	14.4	0.44	14.1	14.0	0.12
Ish Smith	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.3	15.2	-0.85	13.9	14.4	-0.53
Anthony Gill	19	21	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	1	8	14.7	14.7	-0.02	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Kristaps Porzingis	46	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	9	-8	15.1	14.3	0.80	14.5	13.8	0.71
Corey Kispert	48	47	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	9	-8	14.9	14.5	0.34	14.3	14.0	0.29
Daniel Gafford	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	14.1	15.0	-0.86	13.6	14.4	-0.73
Raul Neto	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	6	-2	15.0	14.6	0.44	16.3	13.5	2.83
Tomas Satoransky	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	19	-28	15.3	14.4	0.81	12.1	15.0	-2.90
Rui Hachimura	35	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	20	-30	15.4	14.3	1.03	12.1	15.1	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
LAL 87, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	92.3%
DET 101, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.87,0.9,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	92.2%