NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	5.8 [697]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.3%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.5 [757]		LVP	Jonathon Simmons (ORL): -6.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	8	90%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	16	47%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	8	72%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mario Hezonja	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.01	13	61%	0.20	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.01	9	79%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.02	10	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	3	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	19	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.3	25.4	14.6	27.3	1.8	29.2	127.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +26.4%

DAL +7.3%

ORL -6.8%

DAL +22.4%

DAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DAL	NBA	ORL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	14.7	107.6	123.9	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		104.2	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.5		108.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.6	15.8	15.9	16.0	15.3
DAL	15.2	13.6	16.9	19.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	32	32	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.16	13	-28	41	14.7	15.6	-0.85	16.4	15.8	0.62
Wes Iwundu	34	35	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.16	12	-27	39	13.9	16.1	-2.11	14.2	17.2	-3.00
Marreese Speights	44	43	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.32	15	-30	45	14.2	16.2	-2.00	15.9	16.1	-0.24
D.J. Augustin	47	47	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.21	10	-25	35	14.4	16.1	-1.69	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Khem Birch	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	12.5	15.3	-2.83	16.5	16.0	0.48
Shelvin Mack	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	12.5	15.3	-2.83	16.5	16.0	0.48
Aaron Gordon	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-15	15	14.4	17.3	-2.90	16.4	15.2	1.13
Mario Hezonja	49	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	8	-31	15.9	14.5	1.38	16.4	15.6	0.80
Bismack Biyombo	40	40	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.12	-24	9	-33	16.7	14.2	2.57	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Elfrid Payton	43	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.12	-24	9	-33	16.3	14.4	1.93	16.3	15.8	0.42
Jonathon Simmons	37	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.19	-28	13	-41	17.4	13.8	3.61	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Evan Fournier	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.03	-24	9	-33	15.3	15.2	0.06	16.6	14.5	2.14

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	61	62	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.17	29	-14	43	15.7	16.7	-1.02	16.0	13.8	2.13
Wesley Matthews	62	63	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.13	27	-12	39	15.8	16.5	-0.74	16.4	12.9	3.47
Harrison Barnes	68	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.15	27	-12	39	15.8	16.8	-1.03	16.2	12.7	3.41
Dennis Smith Jr.	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	-1	17	16.5	14.9	1.61	15.6	14.6	0.96
Salah Mejri	17	19	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	4	7	16.6	15.9	0.68	15.6	15.2	0.39
Dirk Nowitzki	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	15	-15	16.2	15.8	0.45	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Kyle Collinsworth	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	16.5	16.0	0.48	12.5	15.3	-2.83
J.J. Barea	50	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	25	-35	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.2	16.5	-2.24
Dwight Powell	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	20	-25	16.6	15.5	1.15	13.9	16.6	-2.71
Maxi Kleber	11	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	20	-25	14.9	16.2	-1.28	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Josh McRoberts	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	18	-21	13.4	16.2	-2.78	17.4	15.1	2.25
Devin Harris	28	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	28	-41	16.5	15.8	0.72	12.9	16.2	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 78, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.8%
MEM 81, UTA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%