inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 110 Excitement9.6 [91] MVPMonte Morris (DEN): +48.4%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback2.8 [741] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -22.8%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.220,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.220.090.08-0.041659%0.241-0.029100%0.08
Justin Holiday0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.10.080.02-0.001068%0.121-0.02250%-0.01
De'Aaron Fox0.070,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.011960%0.193-0.125100%0.02
Trey Lyles0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.010.00470%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.00950%0.051-0.02683%0.02
Damian Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Alex Len0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Maurice Harkless0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Domantas Sabonis-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,-0.13-0.02-0.110.001442%0.061-0.19540%-0.09
Davion Mitchell-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.18-0.02-0.0360%-0.094-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.480.480.160.340.011381%0.511-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.180.090.031282%0.261-0.034100%0.03
Will Barton0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.190.190.030.16-0.001154%0.211-0.022100%0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.020.00673%0.121-0.023100%0.03
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.060.09-0.01656%0.144-0.10475%0.02
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.00275%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.03-0.00558%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00536%-0.0400.00475%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.020.00636%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23-0.23-0.04-0.19-0.011645%-0.172-0.06875%-0.20
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.832.614.728.82.840.2148.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +65.4%
SAC -16.4%
SAC -0.8%
DEN +10.7%
SAC -8.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game12.814.814.5104.8110.6110.8
season14.014.8109.2113.4
opponent14.414.6111.6114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC12.812.511.814.012.8
DEN13.415.216.514.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes84820.16-0.660.83-0.2815-203512.214.9-2.6315.213.41.79
Alex Len13130.09-0.590.67-0.003-81112.212.8-0.6813.215.1-1.90
Maurice Harkless28280.03-0.530.560.030-5511.513.2-1.7117.213.93.28
Justin Holiday59570.02-0.520.54-0.2710-152512.013.8-1.7915.613.91.65
Domantas Sabonis7070-0.08-0.420.33-0.266-111712.513.3-0.7616.112.23.92
De'Aaron Fox8987-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.362-7912.315.2-2.8714.914.40.48
Davion Mitchell2526-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-138-2114.212.31.9513.315.3-1.96
Donte DiVincenzo3738-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.15-94-1314.112.02.0114.515.0-0.46
Trey Lyles3535-0.500.00-0.51-0.03-1611-2714.212.02.2113.015.7-2.70
Damian Jones2221-0.500.00-0.51-0.09-149-2313.912.41.4611.615.6-4.07
Jeremy Lamb6363-0.690.19-0.88-0.43-94-1313.212.11.1014.315.7-1.43

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Rivers55560.65-0.150.800.389-41314.315.4-1.0813.312.11.26
Bryn Forbes38380.280.220.06-0.0110-51514.515.0-0.5414.311.92.41
Will Barton65660.280.220.060.37-38-1114.914.60.2812.014.0-2.03
DeMarcus Cousins29290.260.240.03-0.0310-51514.614.9-0.3213.712.41.34
Bones Hyland36340.250.250.01-0.019-41314.515.0-0.5313.612.41.24
Monte Morris68710.250.25-0.010.36-49-1315.014.50.5312.413.6-1.24
Nikola Jokic75760.240.26-0.030.38-510-1514.914.60.3212.413.7-1.34
Aaron Gordon70720.180.32-0.130.33-510-1515.114.30.7812.213.9-1.64
JaMychal Green40390.180.32-0.150.0641314.115.3-1.2113.612.31.33
Jeff Green4444-0.070.57-0.64-0.0705-515.914.01.8111.913.4-1.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.85,0.67,0.49,0.64,0.65,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 72, BOS 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.42,190.8%
IND 92, CLE 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.73,190.8%
CHI 90, ATL 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.85,190.1%