NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	126		Excitement	9.6 [85]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +32.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	123		Comeback	8.5 [82]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -23.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.3,0.3	0.10	0.20	-0.00	10	68%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.24	0.17	0.09	0.02	26	62%	0.31	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.08
Seth Curry	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.08	-0.00	11	73%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Andre Drummond	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.12
Cam Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kessler Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.19	0.01	13	74%	0.38	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.3	0.30	0.25	0.06	0.02	18	79%	0.30	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	4	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.08
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindell Wigginton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	9	73%	0.09	7	-0.21	8	50%	-0.20
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,-0.01,0.09,0,-0.24	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-0.01	20	52%	0.00	4	-0.24	16	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.8	24.5	15.4	30.4	2.8	56.3	162.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -13.4%

BKN +29.9%

MIL -1.1%

BKN +36.7%

MIL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	11.6	14.5	122.3	119.4	110.8
season	14.4	13.7		112.8	112.2
opponent	14.8	14.5		109.4	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.1	17.1	16.0	15.5	16.4
MIL	12.4	12.2	12.2	9.9	11.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	66	65	1.15	-0.65	1.80	0.65	17	-14	31	16.2	16.6	-0.35	10.9	12.8	-1.86
Bruce Brown	67	69	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.47	20	-17	37	16.4	16.4	0.01	11.6	11.6	-0.04
Andre Drummond	64	61	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.31	20	-17	37	16.7	15.7	1.01	11.8	11.4	0.40
Kyrie Irving	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	16.2	17.1	-0.83	11.7	11.1	0.58
James Johnson	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	0	3	16.7	15.4	1.34	11.4	12.2	-0.85
Cam Thomas	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.09	-3	6	-9	16.0	16.5	-0.44	13.3	11.0	2.31
Kessler Edwards	27	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.03	-6	9	-15	16.4	16.4	0.00	12.1	11.4	0.66
LaMarcus Aldridge	41	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	13	-23	15.0	17.3	-2.23	11.8	11.4	0.42
Patty Mills	34	33	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.05	-14	17	-31	16.2	16.4	-0.20	12.1	11.4	0.69
Goran Dragic	30	32	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	-0.08	-16	19	-35	17.6	15.9	1.74	10.3	12.2	-1.86

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	53	49	0.48	-0.98	1.46	-0.05	18	-21	39	10.1	13.1	-3.01	17.2	15.6	1.59
Jevon Carter	18	20	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.05	12	-15	27	9.1	12.1	-3.07	17.6	16.1	1.53
DeAndre' Bembry	22	22	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.18	3	-6	9	10.9	11.8	-0.87	18.3	15.8	2.48
Jordan Nwora	15	15	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-10	17	11.9	11.5	0.32	16.4	16.4	0.04
Lindell Wigginton	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-3	3	1.0	11.7	-10.70	19.0	16.3	2.66
Bobby Portis	77	76	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-10	17	11.6	11.6	0.02	16.6	15.7	0.95
Serge Ibaka	30	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	4	-11	15.0	10.2	4.76	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	80	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.52	-8	5	-13	11.0	13.4	-2.38	16.5	16.0	0.42
Khris Middleton	80	79	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.54	-11	8	-19	11.5	11.8	-0.30	16.0	17.7	-1.75
Jrue Holiday	85	84	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.35	-18	15	-33	12.1	9.1	3.07	15.9	18.5	-2.58
Wesley Matthews	55	57	-1.03	0.53	-1.57	-0.51	-18	15	-33	12.4	10.6	1.81	16.0	16.8	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.23,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.46,0.55,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.47,0.08,0	89.6%
UTA 89, CHH 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.15,0	88.8%
WAS 86, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.45,0.31,0	88.6%