inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Bullets 86 Excitement9.5 [88] MVPCalbert Cheaney (WAS): +46.5%
Dallas Mavericks 85 Comeback9.4 [173] LVPRod Strickland (WAS): -30.1%


Washington Bullets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.47-0.020.48-0.011050%0.562-0.1000%0.00
Tracy Murray0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.150.010.13-0.01847%0.1500.001100%0.01
Harvey Grant-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.040.00750%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gheorghe Muresan-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00761%0.053-0.11475%0.00
Chris Webber-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1-0.02-0.080.001461%0.014-0.11560%-0.03
Juwan Howard-0.230,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.15-0.080.011644%-0.085-0.157100%0.08
Rod Strickland-0.300,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3-0.18-0.14-0.021343%-0.107-0.21475%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.340.340.010.32-0.011456%0.372-0.04475%-0.01
Jamie Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Martin Muursepp00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Harper0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001150%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Greg Dreiling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.00767%0.165-0.204100%0.03
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.080.00957%-0.0500.00367%-0.01
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.011228%-0.121-0.03580%0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.05-0.15-0.001055%0.104-0.302100%0.04
Erick Strickland0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.16-0.07-0.011232%-0.114-0.114100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.827.215.830.32.437.5138.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +15.8%
DAL -0.7%
WAS +24.8%
WAS +1.8%
WAS +8.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDALNBAWASDALNBA
this game14.215.515.687.888.5104.4
season14.815.9104.399.1
opponent15.715.8105.5103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.315.612.615.614.2
DAL15.517.115.114.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney83800.82-0.321.150.569-81713.816.3-2.5015.813.82.01
Chris Webber82770.68-0.180.860.593-2514.313.80.4815.515.6-0.18
Tracy Murray51500.59-0.090.680.503-2514.314.20.0814.616.4-1.81
Juwan Howard82830.55-0.050.600.463-2513.716.6-2.8815.813.42.43
Chris Whitney25240.310.190.110.45-56-1117.213.24.0612.416.5-4.10
Rod Strickland73720.190.31-0.110.026-51113.217.2-4.0616.512.44.10
Harvey Grant44400.020.48-0.470.05-12-314.613.90.7215.015.8-0.75
Gheorghe Muresan3336-0.250.75-1.01-0.17-34-714.514.10.3615.315.6-0.34
Jaren Jackson1718-0.410.91-1.31-0.11-1011-2116.413.82.5916.415.31.18

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Bradley55600.34-0.841.180.0211-122314.516.9-2.3814.114.4-0.34
Erick Strickland71720.28-0.781.070.222-3515.316.0-0.6413.516.3-2.80
Jamie Watson1617-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-1118.015.03.0116.513.72.80
Greg Dreiling75-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-43-716.715.41.3210.814.4-3.60
Martin Muursepp55-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-43-713.015.6-2.635.214.7-9.50
Robert Pack4348-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.464-5914.116.6-2.4915.013.41.58
A.C. Green8889-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.42-21-315.812.53.2614.313.11.21
Michael Finley8788-0.530.03-0.57-0.45-32-515.614.61.0313.916.6-2.66
Samaki Walker3737-0.590.09-0.68-0.50-32-516.514.91.5815.813.22.61
Derek Harper7169-0.880.38-1.27-0.71-65-1115.814.61.2014.214.2-0.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.45,0.31,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 90, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,091.3%
DAL 107, MIL 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.16,090.9%
POR 102, MIA 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.47,0.08,090.8%