NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	8.7 [169]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): +29.9%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	3.3 [551]		LVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): -16.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.14	-0.00	12	80%	0.32	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.06	-0.00	9	94%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	12	81%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.15,-0.02,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	24	44%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	7	21%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.08	0.01	19	77%	0.41	4	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.25,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.16	-0.03	15	56%	0.24	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	6	87%	0.21	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Paschall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	12	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.5	15.4	25.2	2.0	29.3	127.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.7%

UTA +9.3%

DAL -6.2%

DAL -2.9%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	14.5	117.2	121.3	110.8
season	15.6	14.8		112.4	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.3	14.3	18.0	17.9	16.3
UTA	15.3	13.4	13.9	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	36	36	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-18	31	14.6	17.4	-2.83	15.7	13.8	1.86
Josh Green	22	23	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.05	10	-15	25	13.9	17.0	-3.12	16.4	13.9	2.53
Jalen Brunson	67	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-10	15	16.5	15.8	0.72	15.2	12.7	2.45
Spencer Dinwiddie	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-5	5	14.8	18.3	-3.53	14.6	14.4	0.19
Dwight Powell	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-3	1	17.2	15.1	2.09	13.5	15.8	-2.37
Maxi Kleber	48	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	14.5	18.2	-3.66	14.7	14.3	0.49
Reggie Bullock	67	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.40	-13	8	-21	17.2	14.0	3.13	13.6	16.8	-3.23
Luka Doncic	66	67	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.42	-16	11	-27	17.2	14.0	3.18	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Dorian Finney-Smith	53	53	-1.05	0.55	-1.59	-0.46	-20	15	-35	18.2	13.8	4.37	14.2	15.0	-0.85

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	71	70	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.43	14	-9	23	13.8	16.6	-2.76	17.1	14.0	3.10
Royce O'Neale	62	60	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-4	13	14.2	15.2	-1.01	17.6	13.9	3.74
Bojan Bogdanovic	64	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-2	9	14.1	15.5	-1.39	17.4	14.1	3.29
Hassan Whiteside	26	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-5	15	14.4	14.6	-0.14	18.4	15.4	3.06
Rudy Gobert	68	65	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	10	-15	14.6	14.4	0.14	15.4	18.4	-3.06
Jordan Clarkson	42	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	5	-5	14.9	14.2	0.74	15.6	16.9	-1.24
Trent Forrest	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.07	2	3	-1	15.3	14.1	1.15	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Mike Conley	59	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	11	-17	15.1	13.6	1.47	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Eric Paschall	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.33	13.4	16.9	-3.52
Danuel House Jr.	30	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	7	-9	15.5	14.1	1.39	14.1	17.4	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.68,0.37,0.43,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	91.4%
MIA 87, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	90.8%
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	90.7%