NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	9.2 [113]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +79.6%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	12.5 [158]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -51.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.11	0.21	-0.02	18	62%	0.36	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.00	11	64%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.03	2	67%	0.07	1	0.01	2	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.05	0.04	-0.07	-0.07	24	54%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Huerter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	41%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.51	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.42,-0.51	-0.20	-0.28	0.03	17	31%	-0.37	4	-0.14	11	73%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.8	0.80	0.24	0.56	0.01	21	76%	0.83	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	79%	0.14	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.02	10	45%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	17	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	40%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	26.5	14.7	29.0	2.0	42.0	141.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.9%

CHI +28.7%

ATL -36.7%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	14.5	109.1	112.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.5		114.3	110.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.3	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	15.9	13.5	16.6	15.1
CHI	12.9	12.9	15.3	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	35	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	13.7	15.8	-2.11	13.6	14.1	-0.48
Bogdan Bogdanovic	78	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.50	14	-18	32	14.7	16.5	-1.87	14.3	12.5	1.79
Onyeka Okongwu	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-5	6	13.6	16.0	-2.39	14.4	13.5	0.87
Kevin Knox II	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	0	-4	13.5	15.3	-1.81	13.9	13.9	0.03
Lou Williams	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.4	-1.29	13.2	14.2	-0.98
De'Andre Hunter	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	9	-22	14.5	15.3	-0.75	12.3	14.6	-2.29
Danilo Gallinari	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	15.9	13.1	2.80	14.0	13.6	0.38
Trae Young	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	15.2	14.5	0.71	14.2	13.0	1.25
Clint Capela	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	1	-6	16.0	13.6	2.39	13.5	14.4	-0.87
Kevin Huerter	70	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.40	-7	3	-10	16.0	12.7	3.39	14.1	13.4	0.74

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	57	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-6	16	14.1	13.7	0.35	15.6	14.2	1.38
Zach LaVine	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	14.0	13.7	0.21	15.7	13.1	2.62
Coby White	39	39	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-2	8	15.2	13.1	2.14	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Nikola Vucevic	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	14.0	13.6	0.46	15.9	13.2	2.66
Ayo Dosunmu	71	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	1	2	13.5	14.8	-1.21	16.0	12.9	3.09
DeMar DeRozan	81	78	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	3	-2	13.4	16.1	-2.72	14.6	16.6	-1.93
Tristan Thompson	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	4	-4	13.6	14.0	-0.46	13.2	15.9	-2.66
Troy Brown Jr.	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	7	-10	14.2	13.7	0.50	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Derrick Jones Jr.	43	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	10	-16	13.7	14.1	-0.35	14.2	15.6	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.54,0.34,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.26,1	90.0%
LAC 103, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.32,0.27,1	89.3%
NJN 90, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	89.3%