NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	6.5 [533]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +40.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	128		Comeback	1.3 [1265]		LVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): -17.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.08	20	90%	0.37	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Terry Taylor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	61%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Keifer Sykes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.07
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Oshae Brissett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.37	0.14	0.11	21	83%	0.49	3	-0.09	18	78%	0.06
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindell Wigginton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	14	21%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.7	25.5	14.7	34.7	1.8	32.5	140.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.1%

MIL +28.8%

IND -1.0%

MIL +3.5%

MIL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.5	115.5	124.3	110.8
season	14.4	13.7		111.4	112.2
opponent	14.8	14.7		109.4	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.3	13.3	13.2	17.0	14.1
MIL	13.4	13.4	14.5	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Washington Jr.	9	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-9	9	11.2	14.4	-3.13	14.1	13.9	0.26
Terry Taylor	71	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-15	21	13.3	15.9	-2.61	14.5	12.6	1.94
Tristan Thompson	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.7	13.5	1.14
Lance Stephenson	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	13.5	14.5	-1.06	14.3	13.6	0.76
Buddy Hield	80	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-10	11	14.1	13.9	0.21	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Goga Bitadze	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	13.9	14.3	-0.36	14.2	13.5	0.75
Oshae Brissett	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	14.1	14.0	0.17	13.0	15.0	-2.00
Jalen Smith	35	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	2	-13	15.2	13.5	1.74	12.6	14.7	-2.11
Tyrese Haliburton	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.5	13.0	1.51	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Keifer Sykes	57	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	5	-19	14.8	13.2	1.67	14.0	13.7	0.35

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	81	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-6	21	13.9	13.9	0.03	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Khris Middleton	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-3	15	13.6	14.6	-1.04	14.3	13.6	0.62
Jordan Nwora	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	2	5	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.4	13.7	0.77
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	80	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	2	5	13.7	14.4	-0.70	13.8	15.1	-1.36
Lindell Wigginton	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.21	1	8	-7	13.6	14.2	-0.64	14.4	13.6	0.85
Bobby Portis	61	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	14.3	13.3	1.05	14.2	13.9	0.25
Sandro Mamukelashvili	20	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	8	-7	16.0	13.4	2.63	14.4	14.0	0.44
Serge Ibaka	52	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	11	-13	12.6	15.2	-2.60	14.1	14.1	0.03
Grayson Allen	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	14.5	13.5	0.99	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	24.0	13.8	10.22	18.0	14.0	3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	95.2%
MEM 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 112, MIL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%