NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	110		Excitement	9.3 [108]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +39.8%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	4.8 [187]		LVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): -25.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.00	10	79%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Jokic	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.02	16	67%	0.19	4	-0.11	10	80%	-0.16
Bones Hyland	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.11	-0.00	11	50%	0.18	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	37%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.24	0.14	-0.02	22	80%	0.41	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	14	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.06	0.00	14	74%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.04
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	16	28%	-0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	25.4	14.7	25.2	2.4	30.5	126.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +47.6%

DEN +11.0%

DEN +34.5%

TOR -44.4%

DEN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	TOR	NBA	DEN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	14.5	115.8	116.0	110.8
season	14.8	14.9		113.4	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		109.9	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.8	16.7	12.9	18.6	15.6
TOR	13.4	14.0	15.9	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	58	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-7	15	15.5	15.8	-0.33	13.9	16.5	-2.54
Aaron Gordon	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	-2	5	15.4	16.1	-0.76	14.2	16.4	-2.18
Nikola Jokic	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-2	5	14.9	17.7	-2.75	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Jeff Green	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-4	9	14.9	16.9	-1.94	14.6	15.4	-0.87
Bones Hyland	49	51	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-6	13	16.0	15.2	0.89	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Bryn Forbes	27	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	2	-3	16.7	15.2	1.58	15.6	14.6	0.95
Austin Rivers	39	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	11	-21	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.3	13.9	2.39
DeMarcus Cousins	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	3	-5	17.7	14.9	2.75	16.0	14.5	1.51
Facundo Campazzo	44	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	4	-7	15.6	15.6	0.01	16.3	13.7	2.62
JaMychal Green	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	6	-11	16.4	15.2	1.21	16.1	14.1	2.00

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	32	32	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.15	10	-11	21	15.3	14.6	0.68	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Dalano Banton	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-7	13	16.3	14.5	1.82	16.8	15.3	1.47
Precious Achiuwa	23	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-3	5	14.8	14.9	-0.05	13.0	16.4	-3.44
Khem Birch	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-4	7	15.4	14.6	0.77	17.4	14.7	2.69
Scottie Barnes	59	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	7	-15	14.8	15.0	-0.17	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Pascal Siakam	83	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	0	-1	14.9	14.8	0.05	15.9	13.7	2.22
OG Anunoby	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	14.9	14.8	0.05	16.4	13.0	3.44
Gary Trent Jr.	75	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	6	-13	14.5	16.3	-1.82	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Fred VanVleet	75	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	6	-13	14.5	16.3	-1.82	15.3	16.8	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.08,0	92.1%
ORL 106, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.1,0,0	91.8%
UTA 84, VAN 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	91.7%