NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	8.3 [230]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +32.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	8.2 [172]		LVP	Chris Paul (PHX): -18.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.32	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.16	0.16	-0.01	14	72%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Devin Booker	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.26	0.19	0.08	0.01	23	61%	0.26	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
JaVale McGee	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	13	56%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jalen Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jae Crowder	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	18	42%	0.03	6	-0.21	2	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	18	79%	0.39	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	2	133%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.06	-0.03	25	61%	0.20	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	4	42%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	9	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	16	39%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	21.5	14.7	28.3	2.4	37.3	131.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -2.8%

PHX +15.5%

PHX +18.0%

PHX +19.7%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	13.5	14.2	14.5	109.6	104.8	110.8
season	14.2	15.2		114.0	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.8	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	14.0	13.7	13.5	13.5
PHI	13.3	14.8	13.5	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	81	80	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-8	21	13.0	15.2	-2.19	14.2	14.0	0.18
Mikal Bridges	90	89	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	13.3	15.1	-1.89	14.2	13.9	0.37
Jae Crowder	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	13.1	14.1	-1.05	15.5	12.1	3.43
Deandre Ayton	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	13.1	14.1	-1.05	15.5	12.1	3.43
Chris Paul	90	89	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	13.5	13.6	-0.15	14.8	10.6	4.19
Elfrid Payton	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	14.1	13.2	0.91	12.6	15.0	-2.40
JaVale McGee	41	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	14.1	13.1	1.05	12.1	15.5	-3.43
Cameron Johnson	45	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	14.4	12.8	1.61	12.4	15.6	-3.18
Jalen Smith	12	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	14	-23	15.8	13.2	2.63	13.5	14.3	-0.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	55	53	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	13.6	14.8	-1.20	14.1	12.9	1.15
Andre Drummond	37	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-2	-1	12.9	14.9	-2.00	14.1	13.2	0.91
Danny Green	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-6	7	13.2	14.8	-1.60	13.2	13.7	-0.45
Furkan Korkmaz	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-1	-3	13.1	14.6	-1.55	14.5	13.1	1.39
Tyrese Maxey	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-4	3	14.6	13.1	1.55	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Tobias Harris	87	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.35	2	-7	9	14.7	11.8	2.89	13.7	12.5	1.19
Joel Embiid	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	14.8	12.9	1.89	13.2	14.1	-0.91
Seth Curry	53	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	14.9	13.4	1.47	13.0	14.1	-1.07
Matisse Thybulle	76	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	7	-19	14.1	14.4	-0.29	13.4	13.8	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.28,0.11,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	92.0%
MIA 106, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	91.5%
PHI 104, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.1,0	91.1%