inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 113 Excitement7.4 [377] MVPHerbert Jones (NOP): +47.4%
Denver Nuggets 105 Comeback1.9 [302] LVPNickeil Alexander-Walker (NOP): -10.4%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Herbert Jones0.470,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.470.230.260.021096%0.511-0.036100%0.04
Jaxson Hayes0.240,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.200.070.029100%0.271-0.034100%0.03
Jonas Valanciunas0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.10-0.001364%0.232-0.07250%-0.03
Brandon Ingram0.080,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.080.030.01-0.042049%0.161-0.087100%0.04
Gary Clark0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.000100%0.0700.002100%0.02
Trey Murphy III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00250%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Naji Marshall0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Alvarado-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00642%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Devonte' Graham-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.070.01650%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.020.00950%0.025-0.13250%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.270.270.150.11-0.021273%0.2700.002100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.170.170.150.050.031089%0.364-0.208100%0.04
Will Barton0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.060.060.000.03-0.031557%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.05-0.00844%0.0500.002100%0.02
Jeff Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.01356%0.061-0.023100%0.02
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.02-0.00480%0.101-0.08250%-0.01
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00462%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Davon Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.08-0.00675%0.052-0.1000%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.00530%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.06-0.041127%-0.101-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.825.214.727.51.732.0127.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +13.0%
NOP +19.1%
NOP +6.9%
NOP +6.6%
NOP +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDENNBANOPDENNBA
this game15.015.214.5116.5111.7110.8
season14.714.8110.9113.4
opponent14.414.6111.6112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP14.314.315.016.315.0
DEN14.517.115.014.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devonte' Graham59600.63-0.130.750.3011-31415.813.72.0416.113.62.45
Jaxson Hayes68650.52-0.020.550.269-11015.414.11.2514.716.3-1.63
Brandon Ingram79750.450.050.400.199-11014.716.1-1.3215.115.5-0.37
Jonas Valanciunas62620.350.150.200.1762415.214.60.5516.113.42.69
Herbert Jones68660.320.180.150.2144015.014.90.0715.913.52.34
Nickeil Alexander-Walker40400.210.29-0.080.0653215.114.90.1614.815.4-0.62
Gary Clark38360.200.30-0.100.1135-214.215.5-1.3512.916.6-3.67
Naji Marshall210.010.49-0.470.0108-89.515.1-5.595.015.3-10.29
Trey Murphy III3332-0.060.56-0.610.06-412-1615.214.90.3516.214.71.48
Jose Alvarado3633-0.140.64-0.78-0.05-311-1414.015.6-1.6013.915.9-2.01

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryn Forbes3841-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-91014.715.5-0.7514.915.1-0.22
Austin Rivers3939-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-101214.915.3-0.4013.815.7-1.90
Bones Hyland3436-0.11-0.390.27-0.141-91014.915.4-0.5113.715.7-2.04
Jeff Green3635-0.13-0.370.240.01-5-3-216.314.51.7814.615.2-0.55
JaMychal Green2628-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-6415.215.2-0.0414.215.3-1.13
Nikola Jokic6869-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.18-6-2-415.215.20.0415.314.21.13
Zeke Nnaji5862-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-5214.516.3-1.7815.214.60.55
Monte Morris6061-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-91-1015.414.90.5115.713.72.04
Will Barton6467-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.16-80-815.314.90.3615.414.01.42
Davon Reed4747-0.500.00-0.51-0.18-113-1415.614.80.7915.414.60.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.36,0.21,0.07,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 93, MIL 860.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.16,0.28,092.7%
SAS 88, LAC 820.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,092.6%
MIA 104, CHI 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,092.5%