NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	9.6 [88]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +75.7%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	18.8 [90]		LVP	Brandon Goodwin (CLE): -47.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.76	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.76	0.13	0.64	0.02	18	61%	0.78	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.20
Jarrett Allen	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.29	0.13	0.19	0.03	20	62%	0.31	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Dean Wade	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	1	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Cedi Osman	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	13	31%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0,-0.2,-0.47	-0.10	-0.40	-0.03	14	43%	-0.18	5	-0.29	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.63	0.63	-0.16	-0.02	-0.81	13	27%	-0.10	4	0.73	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.23	-0.00	4	100%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.24	0.01	19	51%	0.32	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.11	0.03	21	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.04	6	-0.14	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	29.4	14.5	24.2	1.8	36.3	133.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -33.9%

CLE +68.3%

CLE +14.8%

CHA -91.9%

CLE +92.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.0	14.5	106.2	106.3	110.8
season	15.2	14.0		110.6	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	13.4	16.9	15.3	15.1
CHA	13.1	16.1	15.1	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	52	51	1.01	-0.51	1.53	0.66	12	-11	23	15.1	15.2	-0.11	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Brandon Goodwin	71	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-8	17	15.5	14.0	1.50	15.1	14.7	0.45
Isaac Okoro	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	1	-1	15.2	15.1	0.03	15.2	14.4	0.82
Evan Mobley	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	-1	3	14.6	17.0	-2.31	15.3	13.8	1.53
Jarrett Allen	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.48	-5	6	-11	15.6	14.1	1.49	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Rajon Rondo	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	6	-11	15.1	15.2	-0.05	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Cedi Osman	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	6	-11	15.4	15.0	0.42	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Lamar Stevens	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	6	-11	13.4	15.4	-2.01	13.5	15.3	-1.77
Dean Wade	62	61	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.19	2	-1	3	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.5	14.1	1.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	31	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-2	3	15.0	15.0	-0.06	15.7	14.9	0.77
P.J. Washington	52	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.46	13	-14	27	15.7	14.2	1.51	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Kelly Oubre Jr.	54	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-10	19	15.6	14.2	1.48	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Gordon Hayward	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	1	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.71	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Terry Rozier	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.55	6	-7	13	15.0	14.9	0.16	15.3	14.4	0.89
Mason Plumlee	61	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	8	-17	14.8	15.4	-0.58	15.9	13.8	2.12
Miles Bridges	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	2	-5	15.0	15.2	-0.22	15.1	15.4	-0.28
LaMelo Ball	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	19	-39	14.4	16.3	-1.92	14.7	16.1	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.42,0	93.1%
PHI 100, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.16,0	91.8%
NYK 109, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.26,0	90.9%