NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	90		Excitement	8.2 [248]		MVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): +42.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	6.2 [312]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -29.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaxson Hayes	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.07	0.01	10	95%	0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	15	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Gary Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Willy Hernangomez	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	12	25%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	7	18%	-0.10	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.42	0.42	0.12	0.30	0.01	5	100%	0.45	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.10
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	11	87%	0.31	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.13	0.00	12	62%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	15	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	7	24%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.15	0.01	16	21%	-0.27	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	25.0	14.6	27.2	2.5	32.2	130.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.7%

CLE +7.0%

NOP -8.2%

CLE +18.1%

NOP -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	14.5	100.0	102.2	110.8
season	14.7	15.2		110.9	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		108.5	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	15.0	12.2	18.1	15.2
CLE	16.7	15.7	17.8	16.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	36	35	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-11	19	14.7	15.6	-0.96	16.9	16.4	0.56
Gary Clark	24	24	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.17	-3	0	-3	14.7	15.4	-0.67	15.5	17.0	-1.51
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	38	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-8	13	14.7	15.6	-0.88	16.6	16.6	0.03
Garrett Temple	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	0	-3	14.5	15.5	-1.02	15.2	17.1	-1.84
Willy Hernangomez	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	14.9	15.4	-0.52	17.4	16.1	1.29
Jonas Valanciunas	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	15.4	14.9	0.52	16.1	17.4	-1.29
Jaxson Hayes	58	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-4	5	15.6	14.7	0.86	17.1	15.6	1.48
Herbert Jones	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-2	1	15.1	15.5	-0.33	17.2	15.5	1.75
Devonte' Graham	54	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	8	-19	15.6	14.7	0.96	16.4	16.9	-0.56
Josh Hart	69	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.46	-8	5	-13	15.8	13.4	2.37	16.4	17.0	-0.56

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	64	60	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.53	5	-2	7	16.9	15.7	1.23	15.5	14.7	0.77
Isaac Okoro	47	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.58	0	3	-3	16.5	16.7	-0.21	15.4	15.1	0.30
Kevin Love	60	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-14	31	15.8	18.1	-2.26	15.8	14.0	1.75
Brandon Goodwin	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-4	11	17.5	15.4	2.15	15.7	14.7	0.94
Cedi Osman	72	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	7	-11	17.5	13.1	4.38	14.7	17.4	-2.69
Lamar Stevens	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	1	1	16.1	17.1	-1.01	15.3	15.2	0.13
Evan Mobley	44	45	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	12	-21	17.0	16.1	0.92	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Rajon Rondo	33	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	0	3	15.1	17.4	-2.32	15.6	15.0	0.57
Dean Wade	38	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	9	-15	15.6	17.2	-1.61	14.4	15.8	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	93.4%
SAS 95, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.43,1	91.9%
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	91.8%