NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	7.8 [306]		MVP	Rudy Gay (UTA): +17.3%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.7 [672]		LVP	Mike Conley (UTA): -19.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	8	89%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	-0.03	10	55%	0.11	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eric Paschall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	64%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	13	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	0.04	-0.23	0.01	17	51%	-0.15	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Mike Conley	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	10	45%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	7	93%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.02	5	83%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.02	13	71%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.14	-0.00	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	17	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	20	31%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	26.1	14.4	27.6	2.3	27.4	124.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +59.0%

UTA -6.8%

UTA -12.4%

GSW +6.1%

GSW +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.7	16.8	14.5	105.7	110.6	110.8
season	14.8	14.2		115.1	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.7	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	17.6	18.0	16.5	16.7
GSW	17.9	16.7	16.1	16.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	33	31	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.02	12	-14	26	17.0	16.6	0.43	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Jordan Clarkson	54	51	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-6	10	16.4	17.3	-0.87	16.2	17.6	-1.39
Mike Conley	52	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-8	14	16.8	16.7	0.08	17.2	16.1	1.18
Rudy Gobert	65	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	17.7	13.8	3.90	16.3	18.2	-1.93
Eric Paschall	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	13.8	17.7	-3.90	18.2	16.3	1.93
Trent Forrest	35	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	6	-14	16.7	16.8	-0.08	16.1	17.2	-1.18
Joe Ingles	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	1	-4	17.0	16.2	0.82	17.3	15.6	1.70
Royce O'Neale	56	57	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.48	-9	7	-16	16.6	16.9	-0.26	16.8	16.6	0.27
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	58	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.48	-10	8	-18	16.7	16.8	-0.07	16.6	17.0	-0.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	63	64	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-8	18	16.6	17.1	-0.46	16.3	17.8	-1.48
Kevon Looney	49	50	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-8	18	17.0	16.5	0.49	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Otto Porter Jr.	53	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-5	12	16.7	16.8	-0.10	17.0	16.3	0.70
Jordan Poole	60	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	17.4	15.3	2.09	16.9	16.4	0.42
Damion Lee	42	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	1	0	15.6	17.8	-2.19	17.2	16.2	0.96
Stephen Curry	63	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	7	-12	16.9	16.3	0.65	16.3	17.9	-1.60
Jonathan Kuminga	14	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	16.7	16.8	-0.05	18.2	16.4	1.77
Juan Toscano-Anderson	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	8	-14	17.3	16.7	0.65	16.8	16.7	0.13
Gary Payton II	32	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	16.8	16.7	0.10	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Nemanja Bjelica	36	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	16.5	17.0	-0.49	17.5	16.1	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	92.6%
LAL 84, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.99,1	92.5%
SAC 89, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.98,1	92.4%