NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	3.5 [1076]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +16.5%
Charlotte Hornets	91		Comeback	1.1 [662]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -8.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.03	20	67%	0.19	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	65%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	12	42%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	7	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	63%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Carey Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	17	46%	-0.01	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	14	21%	-0.08	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	30.5	14.7	28.1	2.3	34.4	136.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.7%

ATL +3.2%

CHA -5.1%

ATL +4.8%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.3	12.0	14.5	111.9	89.2	110.8
season	14.6	14.0		114.3	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.8	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	13.3	19.0	17.2	16.3
CHA	13.2	13.4	10.6	10.9	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	3	16	17.0	14.8	2.15	11.8	12.6	-0.84
Trae Young	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	8	6	16.9	14.9	2.08	12.2	11.7	0.45
Clint Capela	55	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	6	10	16.8	15.8	1.08	12.4	11.7	0.76
Kevin Huerter	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	9	4	16.8	15.7	1.03	12.1	12.0	0.16
Danilo Gallinari	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	9	4	16.0	16.6	-0.57	11.3	12.7	-1.47
John Collins	62	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	11	0	17.3	14.9	2.36	12.3	11.7	0.57
Delon Wright	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	10	2	16.1	16.5	-0.43	12.1	12.0	0.08
Lou Williams	31	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	20	-18	15.6	16.7	-1.06	11.7	12.2	-0.57
Onyeka Okongwu	34	38	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.04	3	19	-16	14.5	17.3	-2.83	12.1	12.0	0.13
Skylar Mays	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	10.7	16.5	-5.85	15.7	11.9	3.73
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	10.7	16.5	-5.85	15.7	11.9	3.73
Kevin Knox II	24	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	21	-20	14.2	17.0	-2.80	11.9	12.1	-0.27

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	31	31	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-27	32	11.1	12.5	-1.41	14.8	17.0	-2.18
Nick Richards	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	16.2	11.9	4.37	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Kai Jones	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	16.2	11.9	4.37	15.8	16.4	-0.58
JT Thor	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	16.2	11.9	4.37	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Vernon Carey Jr.	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	16.2	11.9	4.37	15.8	16.4	-0.58
James Bouknight	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-13	4	12.5	11.8	0.66	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Terry Rozier	64	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-17	12	12.0	12.1	-0.05	16.4	16.3	0.11
Mason Plumlee	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-11	0	13.9	10.8	3.14	15.1	17.2	-2.10
Kelly Oubre Jr.	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-15	8	12.1	12.0	0.06	16.2	16.5	-0.36
P.J. Washington	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-17	12	10.9	14.5	-3.56	16.4	16.3	0.06
Miles Bridges	72	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	-5	-12	11.8	12.6	-0.83	17.0	15.0	1.93
Cody Martin	59	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	-3	-16	12.1	12.0	0.04	17.3	15.1	2.14
LaMelo Ball	74	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.02	-18	-4	-14	11.6	13.2	-1.66	16.7	15.4	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 92, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DET 98, CHA 81	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%