NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	3.0 [1130]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +16.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	1.0 [1133]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): -6.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	18	77%	0.20	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.02	0.07	12	81%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
John Stockton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	6	87%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
John Starks	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	11	41%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	8	39%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	72%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	78%	0.07	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.05	9	83%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	9	59%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	25.4	16.4	29.4	2.5	28.4	128.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.8%

LAC -5.6%

UTA +1.3%

UTA +8.7%

LAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	18.2	15.3	15.5	129.1	111.6	100.9
season	16.0	16.1		105.3	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.6	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.7	18.1	17.4	18.6	18.2
LAC	14.7	17.0	16.1	13.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	59	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-5	25	18.1	18.6	-0.50	15.4	15.0	0.46
John Stockton	43	43	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-7	29	16.9	19.5	-2.56	16.6	14.0	2.56
Bryon Russell	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	3	9	18.2	18.2	-0.06	14.6	17.0	-2.33
Donyell Marshall	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	1	13	18.4	17.8	0.58	16.5	12.2	4.20
Scott Padgett	20	20	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	11	-7	17.2	18.5	-1.25	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Olden Polynice	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	9	-3	18.4	18.0	0.33	15.2	15.4	-0.21
John Starks	49	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	11	-7	18.4	17.9	0.51	15.5	15.0	0.53
Jacque Vaughn	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	18	-21	19.4	17.2	2.27	13.9	16.5	-2.62
Greg Ostertag	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	14	-13	20.7	17.9	2.80	19.9	14.8	5.07
Danny Manning	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	10	-5	17.7	18.4	-0.69	16.5	14.8	1.69
David Benoit	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	17.7	18.2	-0.58	7.6	15.8	-8.15
John Crotty	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	18.6	18.2	0.39	10.6	15.8	-5.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-14	13	15.7	15.0	0.69	19.0	17.7	1.31
Sean Rooks	45	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-14	13	15.1	15.4	-0.31	18.0	18.4	-0.43
Keyon Dooling	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-10	5	14.9	15.7	-0.79	17.8	18.8	-0.99
Michael Olowokandi	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-3	-9	15.4	15.1	0.29	18.4	18.0	0.42
Darius Miles	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	14.4	17.1	-2.71	17.8	19.1	-1.28
Jeff McInnis	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	0	-15	15.6	14.4	1.13	18.3	17.9	0.40
Eric Piatkowski	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-4	-7	15.3	14.7	0.58	18.4	16.5	1.88
Corey Maggette	58	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	6	-27	15.8	14.1	1.68	18.2	18.3	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 106, LAL 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
POR 116, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
BKN 127, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%